Cotabato province, Philippines: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP
Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 8.
UCDP recorded 2 eventsP of organized violence in Cotabato province, Philippines in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 7P. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.
In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 8 eventsP in Cotabato province, Philippines. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 27P. UCDP counts 4P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.
Among the 3 regions of Philippines with a page, Cotabato province has the 2nd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Cotabato province holds 11 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Philippines in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 1 event in Cotabato province. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 8P, which is up 700 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Philippines as a whole went from 67 to 72P, which is up 7 percent.
| Figure | September 2026P | August 2026P | 12 months to 30 Sep 2026P |
|---|---|---|---|
| Events | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| Estimated deaths, best estimate | 7 | 5 | 27 |
| Low estimate of deaths | 7 | 5 | 27 |
| High estimate of deaths | 7 | 5 | 27 |
| Deaths of civilians | 1 | 0 | 4 |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.
Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.
An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date
UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .
This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.
The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.
Since the last update
The log has no change for Cotabato province, Philippines on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data
24 months
Actors, as UCDP names them
Names as UCDP writes them.
| Name, as UCDP writes it | Events | Estimated deaths in these events |
|---|---|---|
| Actor not identified by UCDP | 2P | 2P |
| Government of Philippines | 5P | 20P |
| IS | 4P | 15P |
| MILF | 2P | 10P |
| MNLF | 1P | 5P |
An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.
Second-level areas
The areas in Cotabato province that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.
| Area, as UCDP writes it | Events | Estimated deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Banisilan municipality | 2P | 4P |
| Cotabato City municipality | 1P | 1P |
| Kabacan municipality | 1 | 5 |
| Matalam municipality | 1P | 1P |
| Midsayap municipality | 1P | 5P |
| Pikit municipality | 2P | 11P |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.
Type of violence
| Type of violence | Events | Share of events |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 6P | 75% |
| Non-state conflict | 2P | 25% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 0 | 0% |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.
The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.
Monthly reports
One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.
| Month | Events | Estimated deaths | Dataset |
|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | 2P | 7P | Candidate Events |
| August 2026 | 1P | 5P | Candidate Events |
| July 2026 | 3P | 5P | Candidate Events |
| March 2026 | 1P | 5P | Candidate Events |
| December 2025 | 1 | 5 | GED |
| December 2024 | 1 | 7 | GED |
P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.
Other regions of Philippines
Official channels
- UCDP Conflict Encyclopedia: PhilippinesThe page of this country in the UCDP Conflict Encyclopedia.
- UCDP DefinitionsThe definitions that UCDP uses.
- UCDP Dataset Download CenterThe UCDP datasets, the codebooks and the citation of each dataset.
These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .
Cite and download
ConflictStats. Cotabato province, Philippines: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/philippines/cotabato-province/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .
The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.
- Events of Philippines (CSV)The column admin1 holds the region.
- Monthly reports of Cotabato province (RSS)The 12 newest monthly reports.
Questions
How many events did UCDP record in Cotabato province, Philippines in September 2026?
UCDP recorded 2 eventsP of organized violence in Cotabato province, Philippines in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.
How does UCDP count deaths?
UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Cotabato province, Philippines in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 27P. The low estimate is 27 and the high estimate is 27P.
Are the figures of the latest months final?
No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.