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Cotabato province, Philippines: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Cotabato province, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 1,286,142 (Wikidata).
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 3 organized-violence events in Cotabato province, Philippines, up +200% from 1 in the preceding 90 days. Estimated deaths in the period: 5.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 5 events and 15 estimated deaths were recorded in Cotabato province. That is +400% on the previous 12 months. 60% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 3. Relative to population, that is 3.9 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Philippines - IS (2 events, 4 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Mar 2026Dec 2025Dec 2024
Events in Cotabato province, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Cotabato province, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Banisilan municipality | 2 | 4 |
| Midsayap municipality | 1 | 5 |
| Kabacan municipality | 1 | 5 |
| Matalam municipality | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jul 2026 | Banisilan municipality Cotabato province | Government of Philippines vs IS State-based | 3 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Matalam municipality Cotabato province | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 1 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Banisilan municipality Cotabato province | Government of Philippines vs IS State-based | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Philippines | 3 | 9 |
| MILF | 2 | 10 |
| IS | 2 | 4 |
| Unidentified armed group | 2 | 2 |
| MNLF | 1 | 5 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Philippines - IS | 2 | 4 |
| MILF - MNLF | 1 | 5 |
| Government of Philippines - MILF | 1 | 5 |
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 3 | 60% |
| Non-state conflict | 2 | 40% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 0 | 0% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Cotabato province in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 5 organized-violence events in Cotabato province between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 15 deaths.
Is violence in Cotabato province increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (3) were up +200% on the preceding 90 days (1).
Who are the main armed actors in Cotabato province?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Philippines (3 events), MILF (2 events), IS (2 events), Unidentified armed group (2 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Cotabato province?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Cotabato province, 60% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Philippines
Negros Occidental province · Maguindanao del Sur province · Lanao del Sur province
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.