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Maguindanao del Sur province, Philippines: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Maguindanao del Sur province, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 813,243 (Wikidata).
Violence in Maguindanao del Sur province, Philippines intensified over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 3 events against 1 in the prior quarter (+200%), with 4 estimated deaths.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 7 events and 13 estimated deaths were recorded in Maguindanao del Sur province. That is +250% on the previous 12 months. 71% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 2. Relative to population, that is 8.6 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Philippines - IS (5 events, 10 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Mar 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Jun 2025May 2025
Events in Maguindanao del Sur province, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Maguindanao del Sur province, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Shariff Aguak municipality | 3 | 7 |
| Datu Hoffer Ampatuan municipality | 2 | 3 |
| Ampatuan municipality | 1 | 2 |
| Datu Abdullah Sangki municipality | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Ampatuan municipality Maguindanao del Sur province | IS vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 12 Jun 2026 | Shariff Aguak municipality Maguindanao del Sur province | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 1 |
| 30 May 2026 | Datu Hoffer Ampatuan municipality Maguindanao del Sur province | Government of Philippines vs IS State-based | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| IS | 6 | 12 |
| Government of Philippines | 5 | 10 |
| Unidentified armed group | 2 | 2 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Philippines - IS | 5 | 10 |
| IS - Civilians | 1 | 2 |
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 5 | 71% |
| Non-state conflict | 1 | 14% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 1 | 14% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Maguindanao del Sur province in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 7 organized-violence events in Maguindanao del Sur province between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 13 deaths.
Is violence in Maguindanao del Sur province increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (3) were up +200% on the preceding 90 days (1).
Who are the main armed actors in Maguindanao del Sur province?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were IS (6 events), Government of Philippines (5 events), Unidentified armed group (2 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Maguindanao del Sur province?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Maguindanao del Sur province, 71% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Philippines
Negros Occidental province · Cotabato province · Lanao del Sur province
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.