Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Philippines: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 116,786,962 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Philippines in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 14P. The count for August 2026 was 3 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 72 eventsP in Philippines. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 185P. The low estimate is 184 and the high estimate is 188P. UCDP counts 29P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Philippines has the 31st highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Asia, Philippines has the 7th highest count of events of the 9 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 67 events in Philippines. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 72P, which is up 7 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 83 percentP of the events in Philippines in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

Table 1. Philippines: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events5372
Estimated deaths, best estimate1410185
Low estimate of deaths1410184
High estimate of deaths1410188
Deaths of civilians1129

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Philippines on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Philippines by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Philippines by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Philippines, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 13 events with 33 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Philippines with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Cotabato province8P27P19 Sep 2026
Maguindanao del Sur province7P13P1 Jul 2026
Negros Occidental province14P42P1 Jun 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 3 regions of Philippines have a page. 29 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Philippines: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP5P6P
CPP47P118P
Government of Philippines59P166P
IS16P47P
MILF2P10P
MNLF1P5P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Philippines: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP5P6P
CPP - Civilians6P6P
Government of Philippines - Civilians2P4P
Government of Philippines - CPP41P112P
Government of Philippines - IS15P45P
Government of Philippines - MILF15
IS - Civilians1P2P
MILF - MNLF1P5P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Philippines: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict60P83%
Non-state conflict3P4%
One-sided violence against civilians9P13%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Philippines: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
20172671,713GED
2018123436GED
2019130364GED
2020158376GED
2021143310GED
2022128248GED
2023117269GED
202483206GED
202576197GED
2026, to 30 Sep 202654P153PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Philippines, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20265P14PCandidate Events
August 20263P10PCandidate Events
July 20266P11PCandidate Events
June 20265P9PCandidate Events
May 20263P7PCandidate Events
April 20266P37PCandidate Events
March 20267P19PCandidate Events
February 20264P4PCandidate Events
January 202615P42PCandidate Events
December 20251123GED
November 202557GED
October 202522GED
September 202578GED
August 2025819GED
July 2025518GED
June 20251022GED
May 202535GED
April 2025722GED
March 2025617GED
February 202546GED
January 2025848GED
December 2024412GED
November 202428GED
October 2024318GED
September 2024513GED
August 2024616GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Asia

Comparisons

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Philippines: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/philippines/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 0.6 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Philippines in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Philippines in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 3 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Philippines in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 185P. The low estimate is 184 and the high estimate is 188P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Philippines as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 144 rows. Download the events (CSV)