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Philippines conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published. Population 116,786,962 (World Bank, 2025).
The level of recorded violence in Philippines was stable over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 14 events, close to the 16 of the prior quarter, with 26 estimated deaths.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 74 events and 176 estimated deaths were recorded in Philippines. That is +17% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 175 and 179. 80% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 28. Relative to population, that is 0.6 events per million people.
The most affected areas over the last 90 days were Negros Occidental province (3), Maguindanao del Sur province (3), Cotabato province (3). Together they hold 64% of the period's events.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Philippines - CPP (44 events, 115 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025
Events in Philippines, last 90 days
Monthly trend
Most affected regions
| Region | Events, 90d | Change | Events, 12m | Deaths, 12m | Last event |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Negros Occidental province | 3 | +50% | 18 | 46 | 1 Jun 2026 |
| Maguindanao del Sur province | 3 | +200% | 7 | 13 | 1 Jul 2026 |
| Cotabato province | 3 | +200% | 5 | 15 | 29 Jul 2026 |
| Lanao del Sur province | 1 | 0% | 5 | 17 | 27 Jun 2026 |
29 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Isabela municipality Negros Occidental province | Government of Philippines vs CPP State-based, 2 sources | 5 |
| 8 Jul 2026 | Banisilan municipality Cotabato province | Government of Philippines vs IS State-based | 3 |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Negros Occidental province | Government of Philippines vs CPP State-based | 3 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Oriental Mindoro province | Government of Philippines vs CPP State-based | 2 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Ampatuan municipality Maguindanao del Sur province | IS vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Lumbayanague municipality Lanao del Sur province | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 1 civilian | 2 |
| 6 Jun 2026 | Bato municipality Camarines Sur province | Government of Philippines vs CPP State-based | 2 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Matalam municipality Cotabato province | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 1 |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Banisilan municipality Cotabato province | Government of Philippines vs IS State-based | 1 |
| 5 Jul 2026 | Sultan Kudarat (Nuling) municipality Maguindanao del Norte province | Government of Philippines vs IS State-based | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Philippines | 59 | 155 |
| CPP | 54 | 125 |
| IS | 14 | 36 |
| Unidentified armed group | 6 | 8 |
| MILF | 2 | 10 |
| MNLF | 1 | 5 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing (UCDP dyad) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Philippines - CPP | 44 | 115 |
| Government of Philippines - IS | 13 | 34 |
| CPP - Civilians | 10 | 10 |
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 3 | 4 |
| MILF - MNLF | 1 | 5 |
| Government of Philippines - MILF | 1 | 5 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 59 | 80% |
| Non-state conflict | 3 | 4% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 12 | 16% |
Long-run view: events per year
| Year | Events | Est. deaths | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 267 | 1,713 | |
| 2018 | 123 | 436 | |
| 2019 | 130 | 364 | |
| 2020 | 158 | 376 | |
| 2021 | 143 | 310 | |
| 2022 | 128 | 248 | |
| 2023 | 117 | 269 | |
| 2024 | 83 | 206 | |
| 2025 | 76 | 197 | |
| 2026 (to date) | 41 | 117 |
Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.
Recent reports and news
Humanitarian reports (ReliefWeb)
- Philippines: DSWD DROMIC Report #90 on the Combined Effects of Enhanced Southwest Monsoon and Tropical Cyclones “Luis”, “Maymay”, “Neneng”, and “Pilandok” as of 16 September 2026, 6AM ReliefWeb, 16 Sep 2026
- Philippines: DSWD DROMIC Report #89 on the Combined Effects of Enhanced Southwest Monsoon and Tropical Cyclones “Luis”, “Maymay”, “Neneng”, and “Pilandok” as of 15 September 2026, 6PM ReliefWeb, 16 Sep 2026
- Philippines: DSWD DROMIC Report #88 on the Combined Effects of Enhanced Southwest Monsoon and Tropical Cyclones “Luis”, “Maymay”, “Neneng”, and “Pilandok” as of 15 September 2026, 6AM ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
- Philippines: DSWD DROMIC Report #87 on the Combined Effects of Enhanced Southwest Monsoon and Tropical Cyclones “Luis”, “Maymay”, “Neneng”, and “Pilandok” as of 14 September 2026, 6PM ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
- Philippines: ASEAN Weekly Disaster Update Week 37 | 7 – 13 September 2026 ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
- Philippines: PINGON Response Snapshot: 7.8 Sarangani Earthquake (as of 14 September 2026) ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
- Philippines: DSWD DROMIC Report #86 on the Combined Effects of Enhanced Southwest Monsoon and Tropical Cyclones “Luis”, “Maymay”, “Neneng”, and “Pilandok” as of 14 September 2026, 6AM ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
- Philippines: DSWD DROMIC Report #85 on the Combined Effects of Enhanced Southwest Monsoon and Tropical Cyclones “Luis”, “Maymay”, “Neneng”, and “Pilandok” as of 13 September 2026, 6PM ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Philippines in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 74 organized-violence events in Philippines between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 176 deaths (range 175 to 179).
Is violence in Philippines increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (14) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (16).
Which regions of Philippines are most affected?
Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Negros Occidental province (3), Maguindanao del Sur province (3), Cotabato province (3), Lanao del Sur province (1).
Who are the main armed actors in Philippines?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Philippines (59 events), CPP (54 events), IS (14 events), Unidentified armed group (6 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Philippines?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Philippines, 80% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Compare: Philippines vs India · Philippines vs Indonesia · Philippines vs Bangladesh · Philippines vs Thailand
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.