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Gauteng province, South Africa: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Gauteng province, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 15,099,422 (Wikidata).
Gauteng province, South Africa saw 7 recorded events and 14 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. That is +600% on the preceding 90-day period.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 8 events and 15 estimated deaths were recorded in Gauteng province. 50% of events were classed as one-sided violence against civilians. Civilian deaths in the same period: 9. Relative to population, that is 0.5 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (4 events, 6 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026Feb 2026
Events in Gauteng province, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Gauteng province, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Ekurhuleni municipality | 2 | 4 |
| City of Johannesburg municipality | 2 | 4 |
| City of Tshwane municipality | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | Gauteng province | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 4 civilian | 4 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Ekurhuleni municipality Gauteng province | March and March, Operation Dudula vs Civilians One-sided, 3 civilian | 3 |
| 25 Jun 2026 | City of Johannesburg municipality Gauteng province | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based | 3 |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Ekurhuleni municipality Gauteng province | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 1 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Gauteng province | Government of South Africa vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | City of Johannesburg municipality Gauteng province | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | Gauteng province | Government of South Africa vs Civilians One-sided | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 9 | 16 |
| Government of South Africa | 2 | 2 |
| March and March, Operation Dudula | 1 | 3 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 4 | 6 |
| Government of South Africa - Civilians | 2 | 2 |
| Unidentified armed group - Civilians | 1 | 4 |
| March and March, Operation Dudula - Civilians | 1 | 3 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 2 | 25% |
| Non-state conflict | 2 | 25% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 4 | 50% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Gauteng province in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 8 organized-violence events in Gauteng province between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 15 deaths.
Is violence in Gauteng province increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (7) were up +600% on the preceding 90 days (1).
Who are the main armed actors in Gauteng province?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (9 events), Government of South Africa (2 events), March and March, Operation Dudula (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Gauteng province?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Gauteng province, 50% of events over the last 12 months were one-sided violence against civilians.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of South Africa
Western Cape province · KwaZulu-Natal province
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.