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KwaZulu-Natal province, South Africa: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in KwaZulu-Natal province, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 12,423,907 (Wikidata).
KwaZulu-Natal province, South Africa logged 4 events and 4 estimated fatalities in the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026, after a preceding quarter with no recorded events.
The 12-month total for KwaZulu-Natal province stands at 5 events and 5 estimated deaths. 80% of events were classed as one-sided violence against civilians. Civilian deaths in the same period: 4. Relative to population, that is 0.4 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was March and March, Operation Dudula - Civilians (4 events, 4 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jun 2026Oct 2025
Events in KwaZulu-Natal province, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within KwaZulu-Natal province, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| eThekwini municipality | 3 | 3 |
| uMgungundlovu municipality | 1 | 1 |
21,448 internally displaced people recorded in KwaZulu-Natal as of 30 Jun 2022. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | KwaZulu-Natal province | March and March, Operation Dudula vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 30 Jun 2026 | eThekwini municipality KwaZulu-Natal province | March and March, Operation Dudula vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | eThekwini municipality KwaZulu-Natal province | March and March, Operation Dudula vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | uMgungundlovu municipality KwaZulu-Natal province | March and March, Operation Dudula vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| March and March, Operation Dudula | 4 | 4 |
| Black Axe | 1 | 1 |
| SVC | 1 | 1 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| March and March, Operation Dudula - Civilians | 4 | 4 |
| Black Axe - SVC | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 0 | 0% |
| Non-state conflict | 1 | 20% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 4 | 80% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in KwaZulu-Natal province in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 5 organized-violence events in KwaZulu-Natal province between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 5 deaths.
Is violence in KwaZulu-Natal province increasing or decreasing?
Newly active. 4 events were recorded in the last 90 days after none in the preceding 90 days.
Who are the main armed actors in KwaZulu-Natal province?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were March and March, Operation Dudula (4 events), Black Axe (1 events), SVC (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in KwaZulu-Natal province?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In KwaZulu-Natal province, 80% of events over the last 12 months were one-sided violence against civilians.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of South Africa
Western Cape province · Gauteng province
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.