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Blue Nile state, Sudan: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Blue Nile state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 1,108,400 (Wikidata).
Recorded violence in Blue Nile state, Sudan eased over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 8 events compared with 12 in the prior quarter (-33%). Estimated deaths: 38.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 22 events and 422 estimated deaths were recorded in Blue Nile state. That is +450% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 422 and 441. 95% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 48. Relative to population, that is 19.8 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Sudan - SFA (21 events, 422 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2024Nov 2024Aug 2024
Events in Blue Nile state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Blue Nile state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| El Kurmuk district | 10 | 135 |
| Geissan district | 4 | 97 |
| Bau district | 2 | 3 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul 2026 | Blue Nile state | Government of Sudan vs SFA State-based, 13 civilian, 3 sources | 24 |
| 3 Jul 2026 | El Kurmuk district Blue Nile state | Government of Sudan vs SFA State-based, 2 sources | 3 |
| 1 Jun 2026 | Blue Nile state | Government of Sudan vs SFA State-based | 3 |
| 18 May 2026 | Blue Nile state | Government of Sudan vs SFA State-based | 3 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | El Kurmuk district Blue Nile state | Government of Sudan vs SFA State-based | 2 |
| 7 May 2026 | El Kurmuk district Blue Nile state | Government of Sudan vs SFA State-based | 2 |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Geissan district Blue Nile state | Government of Sudan vs SFA State-based | 1 |
| 25 May 2026 | Geissan district Blue Nile state | Government of Sudan vs Civilians One-sided | 0 0–2 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Sudan | 22 | 422 |
| SFA | 21 | 422 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Sudan - SFA | 21 | 422 |
| Government of Sudan - Civilians | 1 | 0 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 21 | 95% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 1 | 5% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Blue Nile state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 22 organized-violence events in Blue Nile state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 422 deaths (range 422 to 441).
Is violence in Blue Nile state increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (8) were down -33% from the preceding 90 days (12).
Who are the main armed actors in Blue Nile state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Sudan (22 events), SFA (21 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Blue Nile state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Blue Nile state, 95% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Sudan
North Kordofan state · North Darfur state · South Kordofan state · South Darfur state · West Kordofan state · West Darfur state · White Nile state · Khartoum state · East Darfur state · Central Darfur state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.