Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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SFA: events recorded by UCDP

Data through The name is the name that UCDP writes

UCDP recorded 635 eventsP that involve SFA in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 66,467P.

The low estimate is 12,709 and the high estimate is 82,176P. The count holds each event in which this actor is one of the two sides. It does not say which side caused a death. UCDP recorded these events in 4 countries.

Among the 133 actors with a page, SFA has the 9th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. SFA is one of the two sides in 3 percentP of the 22,144P events in all countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 354 events that involve SFA. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 635P, which is up 79 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 0 percentP of the events that involve SFA in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 24 percentP.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

What UCDP calls an actor

A state or a non-state formally organised or informally organised group.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Since the last update

The log has no change for SFA on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events that involve SFA, by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
Events that involve SFA, by month, newest first
MonthEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Sep 202636P187P
Aug 202640P224P
Jul 202640P300P
Jun 202656P219P
May 202656P303P
Apr 202644P423P
Mar 202664P899P
Feb 202646P326P
Jan 202640P839P
Dec 202534770
Nov 202554611
Oct 202512561,366
Sep 202543750
Aug 2025481,041
Jul 2025331,132
Jun 202534350
May 2025512,040
Apr 2025763,051
Mar 202557981
Feb 202512134
Jan 202500
Dec 202400
Nov 202400
Oct 202400

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Countries and regions

Where UCDP recorded the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table of regions has 8 regions at most.

Table 1. Countries of the events that involve SFA, in name order
CountryEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Chad1P24P
Ethiopia3P11P
South Sudan1P2P
Sudan630P66,430P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Table 2. Regions of the events that involve SFA, in name order
RegionCountryEvents
Blue Nile stateSudan35P
Central Darfur stateSudan13P
North Darfur stateSudan168P
North Kordofan stateSudan120P
South Darfur stateSudan21P
South Kordofan stateSudan104P
West Darfur stateSudan25P
West Kordofan stateSudan89P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 2. Events that involve SFA, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 635 events with 66,467 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Other sides

The other side of the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table has 6 names at most.

Table 3. Other sides in the events that involve SFA, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Atoro1P0P
Government of Sudan501P5,857P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. SFA: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict501P79%
Non-state conflict1Punder 1%
One-sided violence against civilians133P21%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. SFA: events recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/actor/sfa/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events that involve SFA did UCDP record?

UCDP recorded 635 eventsP that involve SFA in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

What is an actor in UCDP data?

UCDP calls each side of an event an actor. An actor is a state, or a non-state group that is formally or informally organised. This site writes the name as UCDP writes it. It replaces the name of a group that is named for a person.

In which countries did UCDP record these events?

UCDP recorded them in 4 countries. The table of countries on this page lists them.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.