Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Sudan: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 51,662,147 (World Bank, 2025)

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 45 eventsP of organized violence in Sudan in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 277P. The low estimate is 271 and the high estimate is 309P. The count for August 2026 was 48 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 669 eventsP in Sudan. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 66,979P. The low estimate is 13,220 and the high estimate is 82,746P. UCDP counts 63,409P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Sudan has the 11th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Africa, Sudan has the 5th highest count of events of the 20 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 723 events in Sudan. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 669P, which is down 7 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 4 percentP of the events in Sudan in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 24 percentP.

Table 1. Sudan: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events4548669
Estimated deaths, best estimate27725466,979
Low estimate of deaths27125013,220
High estimate of deaths30926882,746
Deaths of civilians14616563,409

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Sudan on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Sudan by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
050,000100,000Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Sudan by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Sudan, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 128 events with 812 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Sudan with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Blue Nile state36P516P19 Sep 2026
Central Darfur state15P128P28 Sep 2026
East Darfur state12P154P2 Sep 2026
Khartoum state13P58P10 Sep 2026
North Darfur state168P61,672P9 Sep 2026
North Kordofan state124P1,430P28 Sep 2026
South Darfur state37P332P27 Sep 2026
South Kordofan state105P768P23 Sep 2026
West Darfur state26P217P12 Sep 2026
West Kordofan state95P1,257P15 Sep 2026
White Nile state12P69P25 Jun 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 11 regions of Sudan have a page. 6 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Sudan: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP1P8P
Al-Qadiani (Rizeigat)1P14P
Atoro1P0P
Awlad Umm Salama (Rizeigat)1P14P
Beni Halba Baggara8P120P
Farmers (Sudan)2P5P
Fulani3P31P
Government of Ethiopia1P2P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)4P10P
Government of Sudan506P6,053P
Habaniya2P20P
Herders (Sudan)2P5P
Mahamid1P3P
Masalit3P31P
Misseriya3P42P
Ngok Dinka3P42P
Nuer2P36P
Nuwaiba1P17P
Rizeigat Baggara2P20P
Salamat Baggara12P169P
SFA630P66,430P
Shurfa1P10P
Tarjam1P17P
TPLF1P2P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Sudan: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Actor not identified by UCDP - Actor not identified by UCDP1P8P
Atoro - SFA1P0P
Awlad Umm Salama (Rizeigat) - Al-Qadiani (Rizeigat)1P14P
Beni Halba Baggara - Salamat Baggara7P103P
Farmers (Sudan) - Herders (Sudan)2P5P
Fulani - Masalit3P31P
Government of Ethiopia - TPLF1P2P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians4P10P
Government of Sudan - Civilians9P231P
Government of Sudan - SFA497P5,822P
Habaniya - Rizeigat Baggara2P20P
Mahamid - Salamat Baggara1P3P
Misseriya - Ngok Dinka3P42P
Nuwaiba - Salamat Baggara1P17P
Salamat Baggara - Nuer2P36P
Salamat Baggara - Shurfa1P10P
SFA - Civilians132P60,608P
Tarjam - Beni Halba Baggara1P17P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Sudan: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict498P74%
Non-state conflict26P4%
One-sided violence against civilians145P22%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Sudan: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
201763548GED
2018101432GED
201992435GED
202070627GED
202177862GED
20221101,407GED
202338414,770GED
20247057,103GED
202571875,174GED
2026, to 30 Sep 2026455P4,229PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Sudan, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202645P277PCandidate Events
August 202648P254PCandidate Events
July 202641P318PCandidate Events
June 202659P239PCandidate Events
May 202661P392PCandidate Events
April 202646P422PCandidate Events
March 202667P942PCandidate Events
February 202646P325PCandidate Events
January 202642P1,060PCandidate Events
December 202534770GED
November 202554611GED
October 202512661,369GED
September 202545757GED
August 2025511,053GED
July 2025331,132GED
June 202537364GED
May 2025532,066GED
April 2025803,150GED
March 2025601,003GED
February 202556994GED
January 2025891,905GED
December 202479861GED
November 202464734GED
October 2024761,332GED
September 202470620GED
August 202457485GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Africa

Comparisons

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Sudan: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/sudan/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 12.9 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Sudan in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 45 eventsP of organized violence in Sudan in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 48 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Sudan in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 66,979P. The low estimate is 13,220 and the high estimate is 82,746P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Sudan as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 1,462 rows. Download the events (CSV)