Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

ConflictStats

Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

Search

ULA: events recorded by UCDP

Data through The name is the name that UCDP writes

UCDP recorded 81 eventsP that involve ULA in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 313P.

The low estimate is 312 and the high estimate is 513P. The count holds each event in which this actor is one of the two sides. It does not say which side caused a death. UCDP recorded these events in 1 country.

Among the 133 actors with a page, ULA has the 50th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. ULA is one of the two sides in 0 percentP of the 22,144P events in all countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 62 events that involve ULA. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 81P, which is up 31 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 99 percentP of the events that involve ULA in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

What UCDP calls an actor

A state or a non-state formally organised or informally organised group.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Since the last update

The log has no change for ULA on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events that involve ULA, by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
Events that involve ULA, by month, newest first
MonthEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Sep 202611P62P
Aug 202613P46P
Jul 20266P21P
Jun 20264P14P
May 20264P5P
Apr 20263P5P
Mar 20263P8P
Feb 202610P40P
Jan 20265P9P
Dec 2025660
Nov 2025723
Oct 2025920
Sep 2025423
Aug 2025317
Jul 202500
Jun 202525
May 2025527
Apr 202535
Mar 2025511
Feb 2025410
Jan 2025985
Dec 2024712
Nov 2024820
Oct 20241259

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Countries and regions

Where UCDP recorded the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table of regions has 8 regions at most.

Table 1. Countries of the events that involve ULA, in name order
CountryEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Myanmar81P313P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Table 2. Regions of the events that involve ULA, in name order
RegionCountryEvents
Ayeyarwady regionMyanmar1P
Chin stateMyanmar4P
Magway regionMyanmar2P
Rakhine stateMyanmar72P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 2. Events that involve ULA, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 81 events with 313 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Other sides

The other side of the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table has 6 names at most.

Table 3. Other sides in the events that involve ULA, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Myanmar (Burma)80P312P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. ULA: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict80P99%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians1P1%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. ULA: events recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/actor/ula/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events that involve ULA did UCDP record?

UCDP recorded 81 eventsP that involve ULA in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

What is an actor in UCDP data?

UCDP calls each side of an event an actor. An actor is a state, or a non-state group that is formally or informally organised. This site writes the name as UCDP writes it. It replaces the name of a group that is named for a person.

In which countries did UCDP record these events?

UCDP recorded them in Myanmar.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.