Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Magway region, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Magway regionPopulation about 4,078,504 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 8 eventsP of organized violence in Magway region, Myanmar in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 20P. The low estimate is 20 and the high estimate is 22P. The count for August 2026 was 6 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 81 eventsP in Magway region, Myanmar. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 247P. The low estimate is 247 and the high estimate is 285P. UCDP counts 180P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 13 regions of Myanmar with a page, Magway region has the 2nd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Magway region holds 14 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 113 events in Magway region. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 81P, which is down 28 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Myanmar as a whole went from 797 to 583P, which is down 27 percent. Events of one-sided violence are 28 percentP of the events in Magway region in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Myanmar, the share is 14 percentP.

Table 1. Magway region, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events8681
Estimated deaths, best estimate2012247
Low estimate of deaths2012247
High estimate of deaths2212285
Deaths of civilians188180

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Magway region, Myanmar on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Magway region by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Magway region, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 81 events with 247 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Magway region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP1P3P
Government of Myanmar (Burma)80P244P
NUG29P84P
SCEF26P77P
ULA2P1P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Magway region that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Magway region in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Gangaw district3P4P
Magway district10P44P
Minbu district13P21P
Pakokku district47P139P
Thayet district8P39P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Magway region: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict58P72%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians23P28%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Magway region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20268P20PCandidate Events
August 20266P12PCandidate Events
July 20266P29PCandidate Events
June 20264P11PCandidate Events
May 202610P60PCandidate Events
April 20268P16PCandidate Events
March 20262P27PCandidate Events
February 20265P14PCandidate Events
January 202610P18PCandidate Events
December 2025712GED
November 20251019GED
October 202559GED
September 2025510GED
August 2025922GED
July 2025915GED
June 2025612GED
May 2025625GED
April 2025610GED
March 20251561GED
February 2025937GED
January 20251015GED
December 20241322GED
November 2024126GED
October 20241342GED
September 202416GED
August 202466GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Myanmar: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Magway region, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/myanmar/magway-region/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Magway region, Myanmar in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 8 eventsP of organized violence in Magway region, Myanmar in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 6 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Magway region, Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 247P. The low estimate is 247 and the high estimate is 285P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.