Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Chin state, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Chin statePopulation about 373,024 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Chin state, Myanmar in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 5 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 35 eventsP in Chin state, Myanmar. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 94P. The low estimate is 93 and the high estimate is 248P. UCDP counts 71P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 13 regions of Myanmar with a page, Chin state has the 6th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Chin state holds 6 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 11 events in Chin state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 35P, which is up 218 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Myanmar as a whole went from 797 to 583P, which is down 27 percent. For the events in Chin state, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Myanmar.

Table 1. Chin state, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events0535
Estimated deaths, best estimate0894
Low estimate of deaths0893
High estimate of deaths017248
Deaths of civilians0871

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded no events in Chin state, Myanmar, in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 5 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Chin state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Chin state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 35 events with 94 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Chin state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
CNF9P16P
CPU6P20P
Government of Myanmar (Burma)35P94P
NUG2P8P
SCEF9P30P
ULA4P15P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Chin state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Chin state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Falam district12P31P
Hakha district8P15P
Mindat district14P48P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Chin state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict30P86%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians5P14%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Chin state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
August 20265P8PCandidate Events
July 20262P0PCandidate Events
June 20264P12PCandidate Events
May 20267P26PCandidate Events
April 20263P13PCandidate Events
March 20265P13PCandidate Events
February 20263P10PCandidate Events
January 20261P4PCandidate Events
December 202511GED
November 202510GED
October 202537GED
September 202512GED
April 2025212GED
January 202511GED
December 202425GED
November 202410GED
October 2024418GED
September 202411GED
August 202434GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Myanmar: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Chin state, Myanmar: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/myanmar/chin-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Chin state, Myanmar in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Chin state, Myanmar in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 5 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Chin state, Myanmar in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 94P. The low estimate is 93 and the high estimate is 248P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.