Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Nord Kivu province, DR Congo: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Nord Kivu province

UCDP recorded 18 eventsP of organized violence in Nord Kivu province, DR Congo in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 56P. The low estimate is 37 and the high estimate is 97P. The count for August 2026 was 13 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 312 eventsP in Nord Kivu province, DR Congo. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 1,510P. The low estimate is 1,244 and the high estimate is 2,265P. UCDP counts 1,129P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 5 regions of DR Congo with a page, Nord Kivu province has the highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Nord Kivu province holds 42 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in DR Congo in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 515 events in Nord Kivu province. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 312P, which is down 39 percent. Over the same periods, the count for DR Congo as a whole went from 963 to 742P, which is down 23 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 23 percentP of the events in Nord Kivu province in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For DR Congo, the share is 39 percentP.

Table 1. Nord Kivu province, DR Congo: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1813312
Estimated deaths, best estimate56201,510
Low estimate of deaths37151,244
High estimate of deaths97222,265
Deaths of civilians29161,129

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 18 events in Nord Kivu province, DR Congo, in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 13 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Nord Kivu province by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Nord Kivu province, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 312 events with 1,510 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Nord Kivu province: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP4P8P
AFC193P944P
FDLR-FOCA12P28P
FDLR-FOCA, VDP6P36P
Government of DR Congo (Zaire)75P232P
Group named for a person (name not shown)2P7P
IS81P490P
Mayi Mayi Uhuru2P7P
VDP112P410P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Nord Kivu province that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Nord Kivu province in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Beni territory32P188P
Lubero territory63P317P
Masisi territory89P384P
Nyiragongo territory17P40P
Rutshuru territory70P458P
Walikale territory39P106P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Nord Kivu province: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict71P23%
Non-state conflict105P34%
One-sided violence against civilians136P44%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Nord Kivu province, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202618P56PCandidate Events
August 202613P20PCandidate Events
July 202629P102PCandidate Events
June 202631P195PCandidate Events
May 202638P129PCandidate Events
April 202614P69PCandidate Events
March 202611P37PCandidate Events
February 202619P86PCandidate Events
January 202629P256PCandidate Events
December 20251664GED
November 202545302GED
October 202549194GED
September 202539203GED
August 202534161GED
July 202537426GED
June 20252593GED
May 202549373GED
April 202535169GED
March 202548266GED
February 202532147GED
January 20251183,467GED
December 202444150GED
November 20242297GED
October 202432163GED
September 202425100GED
August 202434124GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

DR Congo: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Nord Kivu province, DR Congo: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/dr-congo/nord-kivu-province/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Nord Kivu province, DR Congo in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 18 eventsP of organized violence in Nord Kivu province, DR Congo in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 13 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Nord Kivu province, DR Congo in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 1,510P. The low estimate is 1,244 and the high estimate is 2,265P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.