Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

ConflictStats

Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

Search

Sud Kivu province, DR Congo: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Sud Kivu province

UCDP recorded 13 eventsP of organized violence in Sud Kivu province, DR Congo in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 27P. The low estimate is 12 and the high estimate is 658P. The count for August 2026 was 18 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 230 eventsP in Sud Kivu province, DR Congo. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 1,160P. The low estimate is 806 and the high estimate is 7,648P. UCDP counts 679P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 5 regions of DR Congo with a page, Sud Kivu province has the 2nd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Sud Kivu province holds 31 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in DR Congo in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 163 events in Sud Kivu province. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 230P, which is up 41 percent. Over the same periods, the count for DR Congo as a whole went from 963 to 742P, which is down 23 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 67 percentP of the events in Sud Kivu province in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For DR Congo, the share is 39 percentP.

Table 1. Sud Kivu province, DR Congo: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1318230
Estimated deaths, best estimate27581,160
Low estimate of deaths1218806
High estimate of deaths658847,648
Deaths of civilians2533679

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 13 events in Sud Kivu province, DR Congo, in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 18 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

050100Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Sud Kivu province by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Sud Kivu province, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 230 events with 1,160 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Sud Kivu province: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
AFC212P1,112P
Government of Burundi1P0P
Government of DR Congo (Zaire)155P790P
Government of Rwanda1P12P
Group named for a person (name not shown)1P4P
Mayi Mayi Kifuafua1P4P
RED-TABARA1P2P
VDP50P232P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Sud Kivu province that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Sud Kivu province in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bukavu territory5P7P
Fizi territory45P173P
Kabare territory21P59P
Kalehe territory27P110P
Mwenga territory34P110P
Shabunda territory20
Uvira territory52P341P
Walungu territory36P113P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Sud Kivu province: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict154P67%
Non-state conflict38P17%
One-sided violence against civilians38P17%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Sud Kivu province, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202613P27PCandidate Events
August 202618P58PCandidate Events
July 202622P91PCandidate Events
June 202617P55PCandidate Events
May 202618P131PCandidate Events
April 202612P102PCandidate Events
March 202617P91PCandidate Events
February 20267P31PCandidate Events
January 202610P75PCandidate Events
December 202562426GED
November 20252366GED
October 2025117GED
September 2025110GED
August 20251954GED
July 2025939GED
June 20252476GED
May 2025533GED
April 20251735GED
March 202533109GED
February 202517111GED
January 202513521GED
December 2024437GED
November 202446GED
October 2024732GED
September 2024624GED
August 202434GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

DR Congo: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Sud Kivu province, DR Congo: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/dr-congo/sud-kivu-province/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Embed this card on your site

Copy this code into your page. The card shows the figures above with their source. A line under the card links to this page.

How embedding works. It is free. Keep the link in the card and the link line under it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Sud Kivu province, DR Congo in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 13 eventsP of organized violence in Sud Kivu province, DR Congo in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 18 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Sud Kivu province, DR Congo in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 1,160P. The low estimate is 806 and the high estimate is 7,648P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.