ConflictStats

CountriesEcuador › Manabí province

Manabí province, Ecuador: conflict statistics

Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Manabí province, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 1,592,840 (Wikidata).

0events, last 30 days
1events, last 90 days▼ -95% vs prior 90 days
70events, last 12 months43.9 per million people
191est. deaths, last 12 monthsrange 175–214, 8 civilians

Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 1 organized-violence events in Manabí province, Ecuador, down -95% from 21 in the preceding 90 days. Estimated deaths in the period: 2.

The 12-month total for Manabí province stands at 70 events and 191 estimated deaths. That is -73% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 175 and 214. 93% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 8. Relative to population, that is 43.9 events per million people.

The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Los Choneros - Los Lobos (60 events, 111 estimated deaths).

Monthly reports:Jun 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025

Events in Manabí province, last 12 months

2026-06-14: Unidentified armed group vs Civilians (2 deaths)2026-04-24: Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group (1 deaths)2026-04-21: Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group (1 deaths)2026-04-21: Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group (2 deaths)2026-04-21: Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group (1 deaths)2026-04-18: Unidentified armed group vs Civilians (1 deaths)2026-03-29: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-03-28: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-03-28: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-03-28: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-03-25: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2026-03-18: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2026-03-17: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2026-03-10: Unidentified armed group vs Civilians (1 deaths)2026-03-09: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2026-03-01: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-02-24: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-02-23: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (7 deaths)2026-02-23: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2026-02-11: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2026-02-11: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (5 deaths)2026-02-04: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2026-01-31: Unidentified armed group vs Civilians (1 deaths)2026-01-25: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2026-01-25: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-01-25: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (4 deaths)2026-01-17: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-01-12: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (3 deaths)2026-01-11: Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group (5 deaths)2026-01-06: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-01-06: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2026-01-01: Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group (65 deaths)2025-12-22: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (7 deaths)2025-12-17: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-12-16: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (7 deaths)2025-12-16: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-12-16: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-12-06: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-12-01: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (6 deaths)2025-11-11: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (4 deaths)2025-11-09: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2025-11-06: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-09-27: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-09-23: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-09-23: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2025-09-21: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2025-09-10: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-09-10: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (5 deaths)2025-09-06: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-09-04: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-09-04: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-09-04: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-09-03: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-09-02: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-08-30: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-08-30: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-08-27: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (4 deaths)2025-08-27: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-08-26: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-08-25: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (3 deaths)2025-08-24: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-08-24: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (5 deaths)2025-08-23: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (5 deaths)2025-08-19: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-08-19: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-08-19: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (1 deaths)2025-08-19: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (0 deaths)2025-08-09: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (2 deaths)2025-08-07: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (3 deaths)2025-08-04: Los Choneros vs Los Lobos (3 deaths)
Recorded organized-violence events in Manabí province, 1 Aug 2025 to 31 Jul 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.

Monthly trend

02651Aug 2024: 14 events, 18 deaths24-08Sep 2024: 15 events, 10 deathsOct 2024: 24 events, 24 deathsNov 2024: 12 events, 17 deaths24-11Dec 2024: 21 events, 35 deathsJan 2025: 51 events, 40 deathsFeb 2025: 20 events, 26 deaths25-02Mar 2025: 17 events, 10 deathsApr 2025: 18 events, 29 deathsMay 2025: 41 events, 31 deaths25-05Jun 2025: 14 events, 5 deathsJul 2025: 17 events, 34 deathsAug 2025: 16 events, 27 deaths25-08Sep 2025: 12 events, 14 deathsOct 2025: 0 events, 0 deathsNov 2025: 3 events, 6 deaths25-11Dec 2025: 7 events, 23 deathsJan 2026: 10 events, 84 deathsFeb 2026: 6 events, 19 deaths26-02Mar 2026: 10 events, 10 deathsApr 2026: 5 events, 6 deathsMay 2026: 0 events, 0 deaths26-05Jun 2026: 1 events, 2 deathsJul 2026: 0 events, 0 deaths
Recorded events per month in Manabí province, last 24 months

Hotspots within Manabí province, last 12 months

Area (second-level)EventsEst. deaths
Cantón Manta2835
Cantón Portoviejo1020
Cantón Sucre719
Cantón Montecristi79
Cantón Pedernales510
Cantón Jama210
Cantón San Vicente27
Cantón Rocafuerte23
Cantón El Carmen21
Cantón Puerto López15

Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days

DateWherePartiesEst. deaths
14 Jun 2026Cantón Manta
Manabí province
Unidentified armed group vs Civilians
One-sided, 2 civilian
2

Most recorded parties, last 12 months

PartyEventsEst. deaths in those events
Los Choneros60111
Los Lobos60111
Unidentified armed group16155

Conflict pairings, last 12 months

PairingEventsEst. deaths
Los Choneros - Los Lobos60111
Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group675
Unidentified armed group - Civilians45

Type of violence, last 12 months

CategoryEventsShare
State-based armed conflict11%
Non-state conflict6593%
One-sided violence against civilians46%

Frequently asked questions

How many conflict events were recorded in Manabí province in the last 12 months?

UCDP recorded 70 organized-violence events in Manabí province between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 191 deaths (range 175 to 214).

Is violence in Manabí province increasing or decreasing?

Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (1) were down -95% from the preceding 90 days (21).

Who are the main armed actors in Manabí province?

The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Los Choneros (60 events), Los Lobos (60 events), Unidentified armed group (16 events).

What kind of violence is recorded in Manabí province?

UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Manabí province, 93% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.

Where does this data come from?

Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.

Monthly reports:Jun 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024

Other regions of Ecuador

Guayas province · El Oro province · Pichincha province

All Ecuador statistics →

Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.