Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Garissa county, Kenya: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Garissa countyPopulation about 841,353 (Wikidata)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 19.

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Garissa county, Kenya in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in this event is 0P. The low estimate is 0 and the high estimate is 30P. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 19 eventsP in Garissa county, Kenya. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 7P. The low estimate is 7 and the high estimate is 72P. UCDP counts 3P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 2 regions of Kenya with a page, Garissa county has the highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Garissa county holds 40 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Kenya in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 6 events in Garissa county. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 19P, which is up 217 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Kenya as a whole went from 29 to 48P, which is up 66 percent.

Table 1. Garissa county, Kenya: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1119
Estimated deaths, best estimate007
Low estimate of deaths007
High estimate of deaths30172
Deaths of civilians003

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Garissa county, Kenya on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0510Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Garissa county by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Garissa county, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 19 events with 7 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Garissa county: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Al-Shabaab19P7P
Government of Kenya17P4P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Garissa county that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Garissa county in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Dadaab constituency5P3P
Fafi constituency4P0P
Garissa township constituency1P0P
Ijara constituency3P2P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Garissa county: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict17P89%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians2P11%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Garissa county, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20261P0PCandidate Events
August 20261P0PCandidate Events
July 20261P0PCandidate Events
June 20261P0PCandidate Events
May 20261P0PCandidate Events
April 20262P0PCandidate Events
February 20262P0PCandidate Events
January 20266P4PCandidate Events
December 202520GED
November 202512GED
October 202511GED
September 202511GED
July 202512GED
June 202528GED
March 202518GED
November 202414GED
September 202416GED
August 202412GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Kenya: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Garissa county, Kenya: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/kenya/garissa-county/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Garissa county, Kenya in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Garissa county, Kenya in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Garissa county, Kenya in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 7P. The low estimate is 7 and the high estimate is 72P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.