Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Belgorod oblast, Russia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Belgorod oblast

UCDP recorded 4 eventsP of organized violence in Belgorod oblast, Russia in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 8P. The low estimate is 4 and the high estimate is 14P. The count for August 2026 was 6 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 168 eventsP in Belgorod oblast, Russia. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 243P. The low estimate is 191 and the high estimate is 316P. UCDP counts 158P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 6 regions of Russia with a page, Belgorod oblast has the highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Belgorod oblast holds 49 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Russia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 140 events in Belgorod oblast. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 168P, which is up 20 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Russia as a whole went from 800 to 340P, which is down 57 percent. For the events in Belgorod oblast, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Russia.

Table 1. Belgorod oblast, Russia: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events46168
Estimated deaths, best estimate812243
Low estimate of deaths46191
High estimate of deaths1419316
Deaths of civilians02158

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Belgorod oblast, Russia on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Belgorod oblast by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Belgorod oblast, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 168 events with 243 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Belgorod oblast: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)168P243P
Government of Ukraine167P241P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Belgorod oblast that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Belgorod oblast in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Belgorodsky raion28P42P
Borisovskiy Rayon7P11P
Grayvoronsky raion26P28P
Krasnoyaruzhsky raion13P22P
Mglinskiy Rayon1P4P
Rakityansky rayon4P4P
Shebekinskiy raion43P68P
Valuysky raion8P9P
Volokonovsky raion7P8P
Yakovlevsky raion1P1P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Belgorod oblast: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict167P99%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians11%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Belgorod oblast, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20264P8PCandidate Events
August 20266P12PCandidate Events
July 202631P34PCandidate Events
June 202619P42PCandidate Events
May 202616P24PCandidate Events
April 202622P33PCandidate Events
March 202612P16PCandidate Events
February 20269P11PCandidate Events
January 20269P8PCandidate Events
December 20251421GED
November 20251316GED
October 20251318GED
September 20251819GED
August 20251417GED
July 20251115GED
June 202577GED
May 20251849GED
April 20251529GED
March 20251741GED
February 2025811GED
December 202444GED
November 2024811GED
October 20242072GED
September 20241735GED
August 20241523GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Belgorod oblast, Russia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/russia/belgorod-oblast/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Belgorod oblast, Russia in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 4 eventsP of organized violence in Belgorod oblast, Russia in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 6 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Belgorod oblast, Russia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 243P. The low estimate is 191 and the high estimate is 316P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.