Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Kursk oblast, Russia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Kursk oblast

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Kursk oblast, Russia in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 14P. The low estimate is 4 and the high estimate is 23P. The count for August 2026 was 9 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 73 eventsP in Kursk oblast, Russia. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 165P. The low estimate is 77 and the high estimate is 265P. UCDP counts 22P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 6 regions of Russia with a page, Kursk oblast has the 2nd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Kursk oblast holds 21 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Russia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 602 events in Kursk oblast. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 73P, which is down 88 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Russia as a whole went from 800 to 340P, which is down 57 percent. For the events in Kursk oblast, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Russia.

Table 1. Kursk oblast, Russia: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events5973
Estimated deaths, best estimate1429165
Low estimate of deaths41077
High estimate of deaths2349265
Deaths of civilians0022

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Kursk oblast, Russia on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Kursk oblast by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Kursk oblast, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 73 events with 165 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Kursk oblast: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)73P165P
Government of Ukraine73P165P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Kursk oblast that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Kursk oblast in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Belovskiy rayon6P24P
Bolshesoldatsky rayon3P3P
Glushkovskiy rayon7P7P
Khomutovsky rayon3P3P
Korenevskiy rayon4P13P
Medvenskiy raion1P2P
Oboyanskiy rayon1P1P
Oktyabrsky rayon1P2P
Rylsk rayon4P4P
Sudzhanskiy rayon8P20P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Kursk oblast: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict73P100%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians00%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Kursk oblast, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20265P14PCandidate Events
August 20269P29PCandidate Events
July 20264P9PCandidate Events
June 202610P15PCandidate Events
May 20262P7PCandidate Events
April 20267P25PCandidate Events
March 20265P9PCandidate Events
February 20263P4PCandidate Events
January 20262P3PCandidate Events
December 20251122GED
November 2025614GED
October 2025914GED
September 20251345GED
August 20251328GED
July 20252260GED
June 20252144GED
May 20252478GED
April 202540149GED
March 202556345GED
February 202554438GED
January 202554638GED
December 202465558GED
November 2024113973GED
October 2024127915GED
September 2024104518GED
August 202486528GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Kursk oblast, Russia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/russia/kursk-oblast/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Kursk oblast, Russia in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 5 eventsP of organized violence in Kursk oblast, Russia in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 9 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Kursk oblast, Russia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 165P. The low estimate is 77 and the high estimate is 265P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.