Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Bryansk oblast, Russia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Bryansk oblast

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Bryansk oblast, Russia in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in this event is 4P. The low estimate is 1 and the high estimate is 4P. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 30 eventsP in Bryansk oblast, Russia. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 46P. The low estimate is 40 and the high estimate is 47P. UCDP counts 30P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 6 regions of Russia with a page, Bryansk oblast has the 3rd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Bryansk oblast holds 9 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Russia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 19 events in Bryansk oblast. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 30P, which is up 58 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Russia as a whole went from 800 to 340P, which is down 57 percent. For the events in Bryansk oblast, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Russia.

Table 1. Bryansk oblast, Russia: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events1030
Estimated deaths, best estimate4046
Low estimate of deaths1040
High estimate of deaths4047
Deaths of civilians0030

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Bryansk oblast, Russia on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Bryansk oblast by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Bryansk oblast, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 30 events with 46 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Bryansk oblast: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)30P46P
Government of Ukraine30P46P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Bryansk oblast that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Bryansk oblast in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bryanskiy rayon1P7P
Klimovskiy rayon3P3P
Klintsovskiy rayon1P4P
Pogarskiy rayon4P4P
Sevsky raion3P3P
Starodubsky rayon3P3P
Suzemskiy raion5P7P
Trubchevsky rayon2P2P
Vygonichsky rayon1P4P
Zlynkovsky rayon1P2P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Bryansk oblast: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict30P100%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians00%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Bryansk oblast, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20261P4PCandidate Events
July 20264P5PCandidate Events
June 20263P5PCandidate Events
May 20265P6PCandidate Events
April 20262P2PCandidate Events
March 20265P14PCandidate Events
February 20263P3PCandidate Events
January 20261P1PCandidate Events
December 202511GED
October 202555GED
September 202511GED
August 202545GED
June 202524GED
May 202544GED
April 202544GED
March 202511GED
January 202511GED
December 202411GED
November 202411GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Russia: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Bryansk oblast, Russia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/russia/bryansk-oblast/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Bryansk oblast, Russia in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 1 eventP of organized violence in Bryansk oblast, Russia in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Bryansk oblast, Russia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 46P. The low estimate is 40 and the high estimate is 47P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.