ConflictStats

SomaliaLower Juba region › October 2025

Lower Juba region: conflict events in October 2025

Monthly report from UCDP event data for Lower Juba region, Somalia. Country-wide report: Somalia, October 2025.

3events1 the month before
22est. deathsrange 22–27
0civilian deaths

Lower Juba region, Somalia saw 3 recorded events and 22 estimated deaths in October 2025. That is +200% compared with 1 events the month before. The death toll range is 22 to 27.

100% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict.

The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 3 events.

Where events happened

2025-10-29: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (18 deaths)2025-10-27: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-10-24: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (4 deaths)
Recorded organized-violence events in Lower Juba region, October 2025. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.

Deadliest events, October 2025

DateWherePartiesEst. deaths
29 Oct 2025Jamame district
Lower Juba region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 3 sources
18
24 Oct 2025Afmadow district
Lower Juba region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
4
27 Oct 2025Afmadow district
Lower Juba region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–5

Parties

PartyEventsEst. deaths
Government of Somalia322
Al-Shabaab322

All months

Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024

← Lower Juba region overview

Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. See methodology.