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Somalia conflict statistics

Name: Somalia conflict event statistics
Creator: Uppsala Conflict Data Program
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Organized violence recorded by UCDP, data through 31 Jul 2026. Updated automatically as new monthly releases are published.

43events, last 30 days

105events, last 90 days■ +6% vs prior 90 days

416events, last 12 months

3,994est. deaths, last 12 months154 civilians

Somalia recorded 105 events and 1,053 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, roughly unchanged (+6%) from the preceding 90-day period.

The 12-month total for Somalia stands at 416 events and 3,994 estimated deaths. That is +57% on the previous 12 months. 86% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 154.

Violence in the last 90 days was concentrated in Lower Shabelle region (27), Hiran region (19), Middle Shabelle region (15), which together account for 58% of recorded events.

The most frequently recorded parties over the last 12 months were Government of Somalia, Al-Shabaab, IS.

Events in Somalia, last 90 days

Recorded organized-violence events in Somalia, 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutline: Natural Earth.

Monthly trend

Recorded events per month in Somalia, last 24 months

Estimated deaths per month in Somalia, last 24 months

Most affected regions

Region	Events, 90d	Change	Events, 12m	Deaths, 12m	Last event
Lower Shabelle region	27	+29%	102	863	26 Jul 2026
Hiran region	19	+12%	54	357	28 Jul 2026
Middle Shabelle region	15	+50%	50	1,013	29 Jul 2026
Bay region	15	+25%	41	214	31 Jul 2026
Lower Juba region	7	-46%	34	457	19 Jul 2026
Bari region	6	+100%	44	243	9 Jul 2026
Banaadir region	6	+100%	20	42	10 Jul 2026
Middle Juba region	2	-86%	27	215	7 Jun 2026
Mudug region	2	-33%	7	114	17 Jul 2026
Bakool region	1	0%	15	39	6 May 2026
Galgudud region	0	—	11	155	4 Jan 2026

4 further first-level administrative areas had fewer than 5 recorded events in the last 12 months and are not listed separately.

Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days

Date	Where	Parties	Est. deaths
9 Jun 2026	—	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	200
28 May 2026	Lower Shabelle region	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	67
28 May 2026	Lower Shabelle region	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	67
28 May 2026	Middle Juba region	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	66
14 May 2026	Bay region	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	50
13 Jul 2026	Hiran region	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	42
30 Jun 2026	Lower Shabelle region	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	35
24 Jun 2026	Middle Shabelle region	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	30
17 Jul 2026	Hiran region	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	25
3 Jun 2026	Middle Shabelle region	Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based	23

Most recorded parties, last 12 months

Party	Events	Est. deaths in those events
Government of Somalia	354	3,679
Al-Shabaab	352	3,651
IS	43	239
Puntland State of Somalia	34	199
Unidentified armed group	18	124
Forces of Laftagareen	5	21

Type of violence, last 12 months

Category	Events	Share
State-based armed conflict	357	86%
Non-state conflict	39	9%
One-sided violence against civilians	20	5%

Long-run view: events per year

Year	Events	Est. deaths
2017	285	2,071
2018	509	2,507
2019	426	2,219
2020	394	2,120
2021	390	2,269
2022	338	3,115
2023	247	4,216
2024	172	2,437
2025	366	3,872
2026 (to date)	249	2,743

Annual figures from the UCDP GED main release (through the last full year) plus Candidate Events for the current year, which are provisional.

Recent reports and news

Humanitarian reports (ReliefWeb)

GIEWS Country Brief: Somalia 15-September-2026 ReliefWeb, 16 Sep 2026
UNHCR Somalia: 2026 Funding Update (as of 31 August 2026) ReliefWeb, 15 Sep 2026
iMMAP Somalia: Mine Action Data Brief - Protection Cluster (August 2026) ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
Somalia: Radio Ergo Weekly Feedback Report, Issued: 13 Sept 2026 ReliefWeb, 14 Sep 2026
UNHCR Somalia Protection and Solutions Monitoring Flash Alert # 21 | Sep 2026: Renewed clashes in Baidoa trigger displacement of over 14,000 individuals ReliefWeb, 13 Sep 2026
Somalia Food Security Outlook Update August 2026 - January 2027: Risk of Famine (IPC Phase 5) persists despite better-than-anticipated xagaa rains ReliefWeb, 11 Sep 2026
Somalia: SASDO Rapid Multi-Sectoral NEEDS Assessment: Gandarshe Coastal Town, Lower Shabelle Region - 26 August 2026 ReliefWeb, 10 Sep 2026
Somalia Monthly Rainfall Performance, Jan 2007 - Aug 2026: Deviations from Short Term Averages FSNAU ReliefWeb, 10 Sep 2026

Frequently asked questions

How many conflict events were recorded in Somalia in the last 12 months?

UCDP recorded 416 organized-violence events in Somalia between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 3,994 deaths.

Is violence in Somalia increasing or decreasing?

Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (105) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (99).

Which regions of Somalia are most affected?

Over the last 90 days the most events were recorded in Lower Shabelle region (27), Hiran region (19), Middle Shabelle region (15), Bay region (15), Lower Juba region (7).

What kind of violence is recorded in Somalia?

UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Somalia, 86% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.

Where does this data come from?

Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.

Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Candidate Events for the current year are provisional and may be revised in the next annual GED release. See methodology.