Countries › Somalia › October 2025
Somalia: conflict events in October 2025
Monthly report from UCDP event data.
In October 2025, UCDP recorded 45 organized-violence events in Somalia, with 149 estimated deaths. That is +55% compared with 29 events the month before. The death toll range is 143 to 204.
76% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths: 3.
Events were concentrated in Bari region (12), Lower Shabelle region (11), Hiran region (8).
The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 32 events.
Where events happened
Regions, October 2025
| Region | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Bari region | 12 | 32 |
| Lower Shabelle region | 11 | 27 |
| Hiran region | 8 | 25 |
| Lower Juba region | 3 | 22 |
| Banaadir region | 3 | 10 |
| Middle Juba region | 3 | 7 |
| Middle Shabelle region | 2 | 11 |
| Galgudud region | 2 | 5 |
| Bakool region | 1 | 10 |
Deadliest events, October 2025
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2025 | Jamame district Lower Juba region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 3 sources | 18 |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Bossaso district Bari region | Puntland State of Somalia vs IS Non-state, 3 sources | 13 |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Qoryoley district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 11 |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Hudur district Bakool region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 2 sources | 10 |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Kandala district Bari region | Puntland State of Somalia vs IS Non-state, 2 sources | 10 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Balad district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 8 |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Bulo Burti district Hiran region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 7 |
| 20 Oct 2025 | Bulo Burti district Hiran region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 5 sources | 7 |
| 6 Oct 2025 | Afgoye district Lower Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 3 sources | 7 |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Mogadishu district Banaadir region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 10 sources | 7 |
Parties
| Party | Events |
|---|---|
| Government of Somalia | 34 |
| Al-Shabaab | 33 |
| IS | 12 |
| Puntland State of Somalia | 10 |
Type of violence
| Category | Events |
|---|---|
| State-based | 34 |
| Non-state | 10 |
| One-sided | 1 |
All months
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. Counts use the "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.