Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Ukraine: events and estimated deaths in January 2026

Monthly reportDataset: UCDP Candidate Events, preliminaryData through

UCDP recorded 229 eventsP of organized violence in Ukraine in January 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 13,384P. The low estimate is 13,253 and the high estimate is 13,591P. UCDP counts 150P of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for December 2025 was 674 events.

The count for January 2025 was 376 events. The change from January 2025 to January 2026 is down 39 percentP. Among the 26 months with a report for Ukraine, January 2026 has the 25th highest count of events. Ukraine holds 14 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in all countries with a page in January 2026. In January 2025, the share was 16 percent.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Regions

The table has 10 regions at most.

Table 1. Ukraine, January 2026: events and estimated deaths by region, in name order
RegionEventsPEstimated deathsP
Dnipropetrovsk oblast1325
Donetsk oblast85194
Kharkiv oblast3168
Kherson oblast2736
Kyiv oblast34
Kyiv Special Republican city47
Luhansk oblast413
Odessa oblast37
Sumy oblast1524
Zaporizhzhya oblast2149

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 1. Events in Ukraine, January 2026. The map shows 229 events with 13,384 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Ukraine has each event.

Table 2. Ukraine, January 2026: events with 10 or more estimated deaths (4 of 229 events), in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsPLowHigh
1 Jan 2026No place givenGovernment of Russia (Soviet Union); Government of UkraineState-based8,0028,0025,511
1 Jan 2026No place givenGovernment of Russia (Soviet Union); Government of UkraineState-based4,9094,9094,909
10 Jan 2026Kramatorsk raion, Donetsk oblastGovernment of Russia (Soviet Union); Government of UkraineState-based14228
23 Jan 2026Synelnykove raion, Dnipropetrovsk oblastGovernment of Russia (Soviet Union); Government of UkraineState-based10220

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

In a few events, the high estimate of UCDP is lower than the best estimate, or the low estimate is higher. The site shows the figures as UCDP publishes them.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 3. Ukraine: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of January 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP1P5P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)228P13,379P
Government of Ukraine228P13,379P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Ukraine: events by type of violence, January 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict229P100%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians00%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

All months

Table 5. Monthly reports of Ukraine, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 2026246P6,202PCandidate Events
August 2026297P5,651PCandidate Events
July 2026404P4,983PCandidate Events
June 2026369P4,810PCandidate Events
May 2026294P6,718PCandidate Events
April 2026268P6,954PCandidate Events
March 2026294P7,849PCandidate Events
February 2026166P7,474PCandidate Events
January 2026229P13,384PCandidate Events
December 202567410,107GED
November 202564310,713GED
October 20257585,066GED
September 20258051,613GED
August 202579020,830GED
July 20256787,534GED
June 20254965,738GED
May 20255005,188GED
April 20256215,736GED
March 20256155,841GED
February 20255485,618GED
January 20253766,361GED
December 20244027,347GED
November 20244616,167GED
October 20246106,618GED
September 20247068,129GED
August 20246248,368GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Ukraine: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Ukraine: events and estimated deaths in January 2026. https://conflictstats.com/country/ukraine/month/2026-01/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.