Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Gaza Strip, Israel and Palestine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Gaza Strip

UCDP recorded 93 eventsP of organized violence in Gaza Strip, Israel and Palestine in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 128P. The low estimate is 127 and the high estimate is 128P. The count for August 2026 was 58 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 829 eventsP in Gaza Strip, Israel and Palestine. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 1,952P. The low estimate is 1,903 and the high estimate is 2,033P. UCDP counts 470P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 6 regions of Israel and Palestine with a page, Gaza Strip has the highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Gaza Strip holds 89 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Israel and Palestine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 3,663 events in Gaza Strip. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 829P, which is down 77 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Israel and Palestine as a whole went from 3,838 to 933P, which is down 76 percent. For the events in Gaza Strip, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Israel and Palestine.

Table 1. Gaza Strip, Israel and Palestine: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events9358829
Estimated deaths, best estimate128981,952
Low estimate of deaths127971,903
High estimate of deaths1281232,033
Deaths of civilians3916470

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 93 events in Gaza Strip, Israel and Palestine, in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 58 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

0250500Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Gaza Strip by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Gaza Strip, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 829 events with 1,952 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Gaza Strip: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Israel823P1,947P
Group named for a person (name not shown)1P0P
Hamas772P1,825P
Palestinian Mujahideen Movement3P4P
PFLP-GC2P3P
PIJ44P110P
PRC3P4P
The Popular Forces3P4P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Gaza Strip that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Gaza Strip in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Deir al-Balah governorate156P364P
Gaza ash Shamaliyah governorate104P157P
Gaza governorate263P671P
Khan Younis governorate232P421P
Rafah governorate34P66P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Gaza Strip: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict818P99%
Non-state conflict4Punder 1%
One-sided violence against civilians7P1%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Gaza Strip, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202693P128PCandidate Events
August 202658P98PCandidate Events
July 202688P174PCandidate Events
June 202671P126PCandidate Events
May 202661P118PCandidate Events
April 202665P132PCandidate Events
March 202642P87PCandidate Events
February 202661P110PCandidate Events
January 202668P153PCandidate Events
December 20253055GED
November 202547115GED
October 2025145656GED
September 20253882,026GED
August 20253561,710GED
July 20254672,461GED
June 20253471,919GED
May 20254252,096GED
April 20253381,291GED
March 20252331,084GED
February 20253450GED
January 2025245879GED
December 20242821,346GED
November 20242911,419GED
October 20242572,012GED
September 20242411,006GED
August 20242681,446GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Israel and Palestine: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Gaza Strip, Israel and Palestine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/israel-and-palestine/gaza-strip/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Gaza Strip, Israel and Palestine in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 93 eventsP of organized violence in Gaza Strip, Israel and Palestine in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 58 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Gaza Strip, Israel and Palestine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 1,952P. The low estimate is 1,903 and the high estimate is 2,033P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.