Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Israel and Palestine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Population 15,536,396 (World Bank, 2025)UCDP writes "Israel" for this country. The site writes "Israel and Palestine".

Coverage ends on . Figures that include Candidate Events are preliminary. Compare the two recorded 12-month windows.

UCDP recorded 96 eventsP of organized violence in Israel and Palestine in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 130P. The low estimate is 129 and the high estimate is 132P. The count for August 2026 was 61 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 933 eventsP in Israel and Palestine. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 2,065P. The low estimate is 2,010 and the high estimate is 2,178P. UCDP counts 538P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 49 countries with a page, Israel and Palestine has the 7th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the UCDP region Middle East, Israel and Palestine has the highest count of events of the 7 countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 3,838 events in Israel and Palestine. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 933P, which is down 76 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page together went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 94 percentP of the events in Israel and Palestine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

Table 1. Israel and Palestine: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events9661933
Estimated deaths, best estimate1301032,065
Low estimate of deaths1291022,010
High estimate of deaths1321282,178
Deaths of civilians3917538

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 96 events in Israel and Palestine in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 61 (preliminary).
  • UCDP recorded 130 estimated deaths in Israel and Palestine in September 2026 (preliminary). The estimate for August 2026 was 103 (preliminary).
  • UCDP recorded 933 events in Israel and Palestine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 (preliminary). The count for the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026 was 1,265 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

Source: UCDP GED to December 2025, UCDP Candidate Events from January 2026.

0250500Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Israel and Palestine by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
02,5005,000Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 2. Estimated deaths in Israel and Palestine by month, best estimate. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 7.
Figure 3. Events in Israel and Palestine, 3 Jul 2026 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 244 events with 404 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Regions

A region is a first-level area in the UCDP data. A region needs 5 or more events in the last 12 months to have a page. Search engines list a region page at 30 or more.

Table 2. Regions of Israel and Palestine with a page, in name order: the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
RegionEventsEstimated deathsLast event
Central district5P8P7 Jun 2026
Gaza Strip829P1,952P30 Sep 2026
Haifa district2P5P5 Apr 2026
Northern district6P6P27 May 2026
Southern district3P2P9 May 2026
West Bank82P77P20 Sep 2026

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. 6 regions of Israel and Palestine have a page. 2 more regions have events and no page.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them. The glossary has the UCDP definition of an actor and of a dyad.

Table 3. Israel and Palestine: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Fatah1P1P
Government of Iran8P25P
Government of Israel917P2,033P
Government of Israel, Government of United States of America8P25P
Group named for a person (name not shown)1P0P
Hamas810P1,847P
Hezbollah5P5P
Palestinian Mujahideen Movement3P4P
PFLP-GC2P3P
PIJ53P122P
PNA1P2P
PRC3P4P
The Popular Forces3P4P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Table 4. Israel and Palestine: UCDP dyads in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Dyad, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Government of Iran - Government of Israel, Government of United States of America8P25P
Government of Israel - Civilians47P52P
Government of Israel - Fatah1P1P
Government of Israel - Hamas803P1,842P
Government of Israel - Hezbollah5P5P
Government of Israel - Palestinian Mujahideen Movement3P4P
Government of Israel - PFLP-GC2P3P
Government of Israel - PIJ53P122P
Government of Israel - PRC3P4P
Hamas - Civilians3P1P
Hamas - Group named for a person (name not shown)1P0P
PNA - Civilians1P2P
The Popular Forces - Hamas3P4P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 5. Israel and Palestine: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict878P94%
Non-state conflict4Punder 1%
One-sided violence against civilians51P5%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

State-based conflict

A state-based armed conflict is a contested incompatibility that concerns government and/or territory where the use of armed force between two parties, of which at least one is the government of a state, results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in one calendar year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Non-state conflict

The use of armed force between two organised armed groups, neither of which is the government of a state, which results in at least 25 battle-related deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

One-sided violence

The deliberate use of armed force by the government of a state or by a formally organised group against civilians which results in at least 25 deaths in a year.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Years

Years to 2025 are from the UCDP GED. The year 2026 is from Candidate Events and is not complete.

Table 6. Israel and Palestine: events and estimated deaths by year
YearEventsEstimated deathsDataset
2017926GED
20185278GED
20194483GED
2020710GED
2021107281GED
202247100GED
20231,42827,535GED
20243,14521,622GED
20253,19014,563GED
2026, to 30 Sep 2026678P1,204PCandidate Events

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events.

Table 7. Monthly reports of Israel and Palestine, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202696P130PCandidate Events
August 202661P103PCandidate Events
July 202691P178PCandidate Events
June 202677P130PCandidate Events
May 202671P126PCandidate Events
April 202672P138PCandidate Events
March 202660P118PCandidate Events
February 202672P121PCandidate Events
January 202678P160PCandidate Events
December 20254266GED
November 202560129GED
October 2025153666GED
September 20253952,036GED
August 20253581,712GED
July 20254742,471GED
June 20253661,960GED
May 20254332,108GED
April 20253431,297GED
March 20252431,096GED
February 20255276GED
January 2025271946GED
December 20243001,379GED
November 20243091,453GED
October 20242942,094GED
September 20242681,062GED
August 20243061,528GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Other countries of the UCDP region Middle East

Comparisons

Refugees and asylum seekers

Not UCDP data. Source: UNHCR Refugee Population Statistics Database, CC BY 4.0, figures for the end of 2025.

Table 8. People from Israel and Palestine who are in other countries, end of 2025 (UNHCR)
GroupPeople
Refugees1,265
Asylum seekers897

These figures come from UNHCR. They are not a part of the UCDP counts of events and deaths. UNHCR has not endorsed this site. Read the UNHCR terms of use for datasets.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Israel and Palestine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/israel-and-palestine/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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The files are made from UCDP data, CC BY 4.0. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. The rate for the 12 months is 60.1 (preliminary) events for each million inhabitants.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Israel and Palestine in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 96 eventsP of organized violence in Israel and Palestine in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 61 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Israel and Palestine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 2,065P. The low estimate is 2,010 and the high estimate is 2,178P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.

Where are the events of Israel and Palestine as a CSV file?

The file has one row for each event from 1 Sep 2024 to 30 Sep 2026. It has 5,039 rows. Download the events (CSV)