Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

ConflictStats

Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

Search

Guanajuato state, Mexico: events and estimated deaths in October 2025

Monthly report of a regionDataset: UCDP GEDData through

UCDP recorded 49 events of organized violence in Guanajuato state, Mexico in October 2025. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 244. The low estimate is 20 and the high estimate is 181. UCDP counts 3 of these deaths as deaths of civilians. In a few events, the high estimate of UCDP is lower than the best estimate, or the low estimate is higher. The site shows the figures as UCDP publishes them. The count for September 2025 was 78 events.

The count for October 2024 was 86 events. The change from October 2024 to October 2025 is down 43 percent. Among the 26 months with a report for Guanajuato state, Mexico, October 2025 has the 14th highest count of events. Guanajuato state, Mexico holds 21 percent of the events that UCDP recorded in Mexico in October 2025. In October 2024, the share was 34 percent.

The report of the country for this month: Mexico, October 2025.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Mexico has each event.

Table 1. Guanajuato state, October 2025: events with 10 or more estimated deaths (1 of 49 events), in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsLowHigh
1 Oct 2025Guanajuato stateJalisco Cartel New Generation; Santa Rosa de Lima CartelNon-state2210123

In a few events, the high estimate of UCDP is lower than the best estimate, or the low estimate is higher. The site shows the figures as UCDP publishes them.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Guanajuato state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of October 2025, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Mexico11
Jalisco Cartel New Generation48243
Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel48243

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

All months

Table 3. Monthly reports of Guanajuato state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202650P18PCandidate Events
August 202632P17PCandidate Events
July 202634P27PCandidate Events
June 202628P23PCandidate Events
May 202641P21PCandidate Events
April 202620P30PCandidate Events
March 202639P65PCandidate Events
February 202622P5PCandidate Events
January 202662P57PCandidate Events
December 20253728GED
November 20254522GED
October 202549244GED
September 20257888GED
August 20255376GED
July 20254728GED
June 20253130GED
May 20255445GED
April 20252018GED
March 20256578GED
February 20257474GED
January 202578761GED
December 20245374GED
November 20247080GED
October 202486127GED
September 20246177GED
August 202480115GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Guanajuato state: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Guanajuato state, Mexico: events and estimated deaths in October 2025. https://conflictstats.com/country/mexico/guanajuato-state/month/2025-10/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.