ConflictStats

SomaliaMiddle Shabelle region › December 2025

Middle Shabelle region: conflict events in December 2025

Monthly report from UCDP event data for Middle Shabelle region, Somalia. Country-wide report: Somalia, December 2025.

9events3 the month before
151est. deathsrange 151–172
0civilian deaths

Middle Shabelle region, Somalia saw 9 recorded events and 151 estimated deaths in December 2025. That is +200% compared with 3 events the month before. The death toll range is 151 to 172.

100% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict.

The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 9 events.

Where events happened

2025-12-31: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (29 deaths)2025-12-25: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (36 deaths)2025-12-25: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (35 deaths)2025-12-25: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (35 deaths)2025-12-24: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-12-21: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (15 deaths)2025-12-18: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-12-15: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (1 deaths)2025-12-02: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)
Recorded organized-violence events in Middle Shabelle region, December 2025. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.

Deadliest events, December 2025

DateWherePartiesEst. deaths
25 Dec 2025Balad district
Middle Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
36
25 Dec 2025Balad district
Middle Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
35
25 Dec 2025Balad district
Middle Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
35
31 Dec 2025Balad district
Middle Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 2 sources
29
21 Dec 2025Balad district
Middle Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 3 sources
15
15 Dec 2025Middle Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
1
24 Dec 2025Balad district
Middle Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–8
18 Dec 2025Adan Yabal district
Middle Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–11
2 Dec 2025Balad district
Middle Shabelle region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–2

Parties

PartyEventsEst. deaths
Government of Somalia9151
Al-Shabaab9151

All months

Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024

← Middle Shabelle region overview

Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. See methodology.