Somalia › Middle Shabelle region › January 2026
Middle Shabelle region: conflict events in January 2026
Monthly report from UCDP event data for Middle Shabelle region, Somalia. Country-wide report: Somalia, January 2026.
In January 2026, UCDP recorded 10 organized-violence events in Middle Shabelle region, Somalia, with 631 estimated deaths. That is +11% compared with 9 events the month before. The death toll range is 630 to 660.
100% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths: 27.
The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 10 events.
Where events happened
Deadliest events, January 2026
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Balad district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 498 |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Balad district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 2 sources | 50 |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Adan Yabal district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 27 civilian, 5 sources | 40 |
| 12 Jan 2026 | Balad district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 4 sources | 17 |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Balad district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 16 |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Adan Yabal district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 3 sources | 4 |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Adan Yabal district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 3 2–3 |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Balad district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 2 sources | 3 3–24 |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Balad district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based | 0 0–5 |
| 15 Jan 2026 | Cadale district Middle Shabelle region | Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab State-based, 2 sources | 0 0–3 |
Parties
| Party | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Somalia | 10 | 631 |
| Al-Shabaab | 10 | 631 |
All months
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
← Middle Shabelle region overview
Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. See methodology.