Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Tigray state, Ethiopia: events and estimated deaths in September 2026

Monthly report of a regionDataset: UCDP Candidate Events, preliminaryData through

UCDP recorded 43 eventsP of organized violence in Tigray state, Ethiopia in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 204P. The low estimate is 204 and the high estimate is 242P. UCDP counts 115P of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for August 2026 was 12 eventsP.

The count for September 2025 was 2 events. The change from September 2025 to September 2026 is up 2050 percentP. Among the 15 months with a report for Tigray state, Ethiopia, September 2026 has the highest count of events. Tigray state, Ethiopia holds 36 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Ethiopia in September 2026. In September 2025, the share was 3 percent.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The report of the country for this month: Ethiopia, September 2026.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Ethiopia has each event.

Table 1. Tigray state, September 2026: events with 10 or more estimated deaths (6 of 43 events), in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsPLowHigh
8 Sep 2026Southeastern zone, Tigray stateGovernment of Ethiopia; TPLFState-based131313
17 Sep 2026Northwestern zone, Tigray stateGovernment of Ethiopia; TPLFState-based464646
22 Sep 2026Southern zone, Tigray stateGovernment of Ethiopia; EPFASState-based10109
22 Sep 2026Southern zone, Tigray stateGovernment of Ethiopia; EPFASState-based10109
23 Sep 2026Southern zone, Tigray stateGovernment of Ethiopia; EPFASState-based171717
25 Sep 2026Southern zone, Tigray stateGovernment of Ethiopia; EPFASState-based474733

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

In a few events, the high estimate of UCDP is lower than the best estimate, or the low estimate is higher. The site shows the figures as UCDP publishes them.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Tigray state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of September 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
EPFAS37P140P
Fano1P0P
Government of Ethiopia43P204P
TPLF5P64P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

All months

Table 3. Monthly reports of Tigray state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202643P204PCandidate Events
August 202612P50PCandidate Events
June 20266P9PCandidate Events
April 20262P4PCandidate Events
March 20262P5PCandidate Events
February 20264P0PCandidate Events
January 202627P21PCandidate Events
December 202512GED
October 202511GED
September 202521GED
August 202510GED
March 202516GED
January 202510GED
October 202411GED
August 202412GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Tigray state: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Tigray state, Ethiopia: events and estimated deaths in September 2026. https://conflictstats.com/country/ethiopia/tigray-state/month/2026-09/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.