Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Government of Ethiopia: events recorded by UCDP

Data through The name is the name that UCDP writes

UCDP recorded 862 eventsP that involve Government of Ethiopia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 4,769P.

The low estimate is 3,460 and the high estimate is 13,975P. The count holds each event in which this actor is one of the two sides. It does not say which side caused a death. UCDP recorded these events in 2 countries.

Among the 133 actors with a page, Government of Ethiopia has the 7th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Government of Ethiopia is one of the two sides in 4 percentP of the 22,144P events in all countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 1,304 events that involve Government of Ethiopia. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 862P, which is down 34 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 0 percent of the events that involve Government of Ethiopia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 24 percentP.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

What UCDP calls an actor

A state or a non-state formally organised or informally organised group.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Since the last update

The log has no change for Government of Ethiopia on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

0100200Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events that involve Government of Ethiopia, by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
Events that involve Government of Ethiopia, by month, newest first
MonthEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Sep 2026109P564P
Aug 202661P306P
Jul 202651P209P
Jun 202667P346P
May 202650P154P
Apr 202666P246P
Mar 202684P615P
Feb 202677P498P
Jan 202679P278P
Dec 202570204
Nov 202565819
Oct 202583530
Sep 202556700
Aug 202577272
Jul 202572213
Jun 2025104211
May 202582239
Apr 2025185589
Mar 2025142603
Feb 202587118
Jan 2025168407
Dec 2024123178
Nov 2024101280
Oct 2024107406

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Countries and regions

Where UCDP recorded the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table of regions has 8 regions at most.

Table 1. Countries of the events that involve Government of Ethiopia, in name order
CountryEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Ethiopia861P4,767P
Sudan1P2P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Table 2. Regions of the events that involve Government of Ethiopia, in name order
RegionCountryEvents
Addis Ababa Chartered cityEthiopia1P
Afar stateEthiopia15P
Amhara stateEthiopia515P
Benishangul-Gumuz stateEthiopia12P
Central Ethiopia regional stateEthiopia3P
Oromiya stateEthiopia223P
South Ethiopia regional stateEthiopia3P
Tigray stateEthiopia86P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 2. Events that involve Government of Ethiopia, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 862 events with 4,769 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Other sides

The other side of the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table has 6 names at most.

Table 3. Other sides in the events that involve Government of Ethiopia, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
ALF3P2P
EPFAS83P428P
Fano509P3,393P
GFNF4P39P
OLA80P460P
TPLF54P165P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Government of Ethiopia: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict735P85%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians127P15%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Government of Ethiopia: events recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/actor/government-of-ethiopia/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events that involve Government of Ethiopia did UCDP record?

UCDP recorded 862 eventsP that involve Government of Ethiopia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

What is an actor in UCDP data?

UCDP calls each side of an event an actor. An actor is a state, or a non-state group that is formally or informally organised. This site writes the name as UCDP writes it. It replaces the name of a group that is named for a person.

In which countries did UCDP record these events?

UCDP recorded them in Ethiopia and Sudan.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.