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Tigray state, Ethiopia: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Tigray state, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 4,960,003 (Wikidata).
The level of recorded violence in Tigray state, Ethiopia was stable over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 6 events, close to the 7 of the prior quarter, with 9 estimated deaths.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 46 events and 43 estimated deaths were recorded in Tigray state. That is +1050% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 40 and 90. 72% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 3. Relative to population, that is 9.3 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Ethiopia - TPLF (31 events, 35 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jun 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Mar 2025Jan 2025Oct 2024
Events in Tigray state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Tigray state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Northwestern zone | 18 | 19 |
| Southern zone | 10 | 2 |
| Western zone | 6 | 12 |
| Southeastern zone | 5 | 5 |
| Central zone | 4 | 5 |
| Eastern zone | 1 | 0 |
749,509 internally displaced people recorded in Tigray as of 31 Aug 2024. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2026 | Western zone Tigray state | Government of Ethiopia vs TPLF State-based, 2 sources | 4 1–4 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Northwestern zone Tigray state | Government of Ethiopia vs TPLF State-based, 6 sources | 3 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Northwestern zone Tigray state | Government of Ethiopia vs TPLF State-based, 5 sources | 2 2–3 |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Tigray state | Government of Ethiopia vs TPLF State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Tigray state | Government of Ethiopia vs TPLF State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Northwestern zone Tigray state | Government of Ethiopia vs TPLF State-based | 0 0–1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Ethiopia | 34 | 36 |
| TPLF | 33 | 35 |
| Unidentified armed group | 18 | 6 |
| Fano | 2 | 4 |
| Tekeze Guards | 1 | 4 |
| TPF | 1 | 0 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Ethiopia - TPLF | 31 | 35 |
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 9 | 3 |
| Government of Ethiopia - Civilians | 2 | 1 |
| Fano - Tekeze Guards | 1 | 4 |
| TPF - TPLF | 1 | 0 |
| Government of Ethiopia - Fano | 1 | 0 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 33 | 72% |
| Non-state conflict | 10 | 22% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 3 | 7% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Tigray state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 46 organized-violence events in Tigray state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 43 deaths (range 40 to 90).
Is violence in Tigray state increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (6) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (7).
Who are the main armed actors in Tigray state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Ethiopia (34 events), TPLF (33 events), Unidentified armed group (18 events), Fano (2 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Tigray state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Tigray state, 72% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jun 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Mar 2025Jan 2025Oct 2024Aug 2024
Other regions of Ethiopia
Amhara state · Oromiya state · Benishangul-Gumuz state · South Ethiopia regional state · Gambella state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.