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Baja California Sur state, Mexico: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Baja California Sur state, data through 31 Jul 2026.
Baja California Sur state, Mexico logged 1 events and 3 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026, -80% against the preceding 90 days.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 11 events and 18 estimated deaths were recorded in Baja California Sur state. That is +10% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 16 and 18. 91% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 2.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos (6 events, 11 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025
Events in Baja California Sur state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Baja California Sur state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Mulegé municipality | 4 | 4 |
| Comondú municipality | 3 | 3 |
| La Paz municipality | 2 | 2 |
| Loreto municipality | 1 | 6 |
| Los Cabos municipality | 1 | 3 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2026 | Los Cabos municipality Baja California Sur state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 3 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 9 | 13 |
| Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos | 6 | 11 |
| Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos | 6 | 11 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos - Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos | 6 | 11 |
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 4 | 6 |
| Unidentified armed group - Civilians | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 0 | 0% |
| Non-state conflict | 10 | 91% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 1 | 9% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Baja California Sur state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 11 organized-violence events in Baja California Sur state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 18 deaths (range 16 to 18).
Is violence in Baja California Sur state increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (1) were down -80% from the preceding 90 days (5).
Who are the main armed actors in Baja California Sur state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (9 events), Sinaloa Cartel - Los Chapitos (6 events), Sinaloa Cartel - Los Mayos (6 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Baja California Sur state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Baja California Sur state, 91% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Mexico
Sinaloa state · Guerrero state · Guanajuato state · Chihuahua state · Baja California state · Ciudad de México · México state · Oaxaca state · Veracruz state · Michoacán state · Morelos state · Hidalgo state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.