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Morelos state, Mexico: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Morelos state, data through 31 Jul 2026.
Recorded violence in Morelos state, Mexico eased over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 3 events compared with 4 in the prior quarter (-25%). Estimated deaths: 4.
The 12-month total for Morelos state stands at 14 events and 27 estimated deaths. That is +1300% on the previous 12 months. 57% of events were classed as non-state conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 3.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group (10 events, 23 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Apr 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Aug 2025Apr 2025
Events in Morelos state, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Morelos state, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Emiliano Zapata municipality | 2 | 3 |
| Temixco municipality | 2 | 2 |
| Cuernavaca municipality | 2 | 2 |
| Ayala municipality | 1 | 8 |
| Tepoztlán municipality | 1 | 2 |
| Tlaquiltenango municipality | 1 | 2 |
| Jiutepec municipality | 1 | 2 |
| Huitzilac municipality | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Jul 2026 | Tepoztlán municipality Morelos state | Unidentified armed group vs Unidentified armed group Non-state | 2 |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Temixco municipality Morelos state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Morelos state | Unidentified armed group vs Civilians One-sided, 1 civilian | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group | 23 | 49 |
| Sinaloa Cartel | 1 | 1 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Unidentified armed group - Unidentified armed group | 10 | 23 |
| Unidentified armed group - Civilians | 3 | 3 |
| Sinaloa Cartel - Civilians | 1 | 1 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 2 | 14% |
| Non-state conflict | 8 | 57% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 4 | 29% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Morelos state in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 14 organized-violence events in Morelos state between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 27 deaths.
Is violence in Morelos state increasing or decreasing?
Decreasing. Events in the last 90 days (3) were down -25% from the preceding 90 days (4).
Who are the main armed actors in Morelos state?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Unidentified armed group (23 events), Sinaloa Cartel (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Morelos state?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Morelos state, 57% of events over the last 12 months were non-state conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Mexico
Sinaloa state · Guerrero state · Guanajuato state · Chihuahua state · Baja California state · Ciudad de México · México state · Oaxaca state · Veracruz state · Michoacán state · Hidalgo state · Tamaulipas state
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.