Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Morelos state, Mexico: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Morelos state

UCDP recorded 10 eventsP of organized violence in Morelos state, Mexico in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 16P. The count for August 2026 was 11 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 34 eventsP in Morelos state, Mexico. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 57P. UCDP counts 5P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 22 regions of Mexico with a page, Morelos state has the 9th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Morelos state holds 1 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Mexico in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 2 events in Morelos state. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 34P, which is up 1600 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Mexico as a whole went from 3,005 to 2,462P, which is down 18 percent. Events of non-state conflict are 74 percentP of the events in Morelos state in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Mexico, the share is 94 percentP.

Table 1. Morelos state, Mexico: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events101134
Estimated deaths, best estimate161557
Low estimate of deaths161557
High estimate of deaths161557
Deaths of civilians125

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Morelos state, Mexico on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Morelos state by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Morelos state, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 34 events with 57 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Morelos state: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP34P57P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Morelos state that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Morelos state in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Ayala municipality1P8P
Cuautla municipality1P1P
Cuernavaca municipality7P9P
Emiliano Zapata municipality5P7P
Jiutepec municipality2P4P
Tepoztlán municipality2P4P
Tetecala municipality2P4P
Tlaquiltenango municipality1P2P
Yautepec municipality3P5P
Zacatepec municipality1P2P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Morelos state: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict3P9%
Non-state conflict25P74%
One-sided violence against civilians6P18%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Morelos state, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202610P16PCandidate Events
August 202611P15PCandidate Events
July 20263P4PCandidate Events
April 20263P11PCandidate Events
February 20261P1PCandidate Events
January 20266P10PCandidate Events
August 202511GED
April 202511GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Mexico: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Morelos state, Mexico: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/mexico/morelos-state/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Morelos state, Mexico in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 10 eventsP of organized violence in Morelos state, Mexico in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 11 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Morelos state, Mexico in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 57P. The low estimate is 57 and the high estimate is 57P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.