ConflictStats

SomaliaBay region › December 2025

Bay region: conflict events in December 2025

Monthly report from UCDP event data for Bay region, Somalia. Country-wide report: Somalia, December 2025.

4events2 the month before
6est. deathsrange 6–11
0civilian deaths

In December 2025, UCDP recorded 4 organized-violence events in Bay region, Somalia, with 6 estimated deaths. That is +100% compared with 2 events the month before. The death toll range is 6 to 11.

100% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict.

The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 4 events.

Where events happened

2025-12-26: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-12-15: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (6 deaths)2025-12-04: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2025-12-03: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)
Recorded organized-violence events in Bay region, December 2025. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.

Deadliest events, December 2025

DateWherePartiesEst. deaths
15 Dec 2025Baidoa district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
6
26 Dec 2025Baidoa district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–2
4 Dec 2025Dinsor district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–2
3 Dec 2025Baidoa district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–1

Parties

PartyEventsEst. deaths
Government of Somalia46
Al-Shabaab46

All months

Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Sep 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Sep 2024Aug 2024

← Bay region overview

Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. See methodology.