ConflictStats

SomaliaBay region › January 2026

Bay region: conflict events in January 2026

Monthly report from UCDP event data for Bay region, Somalia. Country-wide report: Somalia, January 2026.

6events4 the month before
52est. deathsrange 52–56
0civilian deaths

Bay region, Somalia saw 6 recorded events and 52 estimated deaths in January 2026. That is +50% compared with 4 events the month before. The death toll range is 52 to 56.

100% of the month's events were state-based armed conflict.

The most active pairing was Government of Somalia - Al-Shabaab with 6 events.

Where events happened

2026-01-11: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2026-01-08: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (22 deaths)2026-01-06: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (5 deaths)2026-01-05: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (5 deaths)2026-01-05: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (0 deaths)2026-01-03: Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab (20 deaths)
Recorded organized-violence events in Bay region, January 2026. Circle size scales with estimated deaths.State-based Non-state One-sidedOutlines: Natural Earth.

Deadliest events, January 2026

DateWherePartiesEst. deaths
8 Jan 2026Bur Hakaba district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
22
3 Jan 2026Bur Hakaba district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 2 sources
20
6 Jan 2026Dinsor district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
5
5 Jan 2026Dinsor district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based, 2 sources
5
11 Jan 2026Baidoa district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–1
5 Jan 2026Baidoa district
Bay region
Government of Somalia vs Al-Shabaab
State-based
0
0–3

Parties

PartyEventsEst. deaths
Government of Somalia652
Al-Shabaab652

All months

Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Sep 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Sep 2024Aug 2024

← Bay region overview

Source: UCDP GED and Candidate Events, CC BY 4.0. See methodology.