Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Bay region, Somalia: events and estimated deaths in March 2026

Monthly report of a regionDataset: UCDP Candidate Events, preliminaryData through

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a monthly report when three things are true. The page of the region is listed. The month is one of the last 12 months. The month has 30 or more events.

UCDP recorded 4 eventsP of organized violence in Bay region, Somalia in March 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 31P. UCDP counts 4P of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for February 2026 was 3 eventsP.

The count for March 2025 was 1 event. The change from March 2025 to March 2026 is up 300 percentP. Among the 19 months with a report for Bay region, Somalia, March 2026 has the 6th highest count of events. Bay region, Somalia holds 13 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Somalia in March 2026. In March 2025, the share was 3 percent.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The report of the country for this month: Somalia, March 2026.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Events

The table lists each event of the month. The CSV file of Somalia has each event.

Table 1. Bay region, March 2026: the events of the month, in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsPLowHigh
1 Mar 2026Bur Hakaba district, Bay regionAl-Shabaab; CiviliansOne-sided444
14 Mar 2026Qansah Dere district, Bay regionActor not identified by UCDP; Actor not identified by UCDPState-based444
19 Mar 2026Baidoa district, Bay regionGovernment of Somalia; South West State of SomaliaState-based222
29 Mar 2026Baidoa district, Bay regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based212121

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Bay region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of March 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP1P4P
Al-Shabaab2P25P
Government of Somalia2P23P
South West State of Somalia1P2P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

All months

Table 3. Monthly reports of Bay region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20267P128PCandidate Events
August 20263P58PCandidate Events
July 20265P3PCandidate Events
June 20263P4PCandidate Events
May 20267P67PCandidate Events
April 20265P35PCandidate Events
March 20264P31PCandidate Events
February 20263P5PCandidate Events
January 20266P52PCandidate Events
December 202546GED
November 202527GED
September 202524GED
July 202534GED
June 2025224GED
May 20253120GED
April 2025220GED
March 202511GED
September 2024215GED
August 2024112GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Bay region: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Bay region, Somalia: events and estimated deaths in March 2026. https://conflictstats.com/country/somalia/bay-region/month/2026-03/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.