Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Somalia: events and estimated deaths in March 2026

Monthly reportDataset: UCDP Candidate Events, preliminaryData through

UCDP recorded 30 eventsP of organized violence in Somalia in March 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 188P. The low estimate is 188 and the high estimate is 219P. UCDP counts 10P of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for February 2026 was 37 eventsP.

The count for March 2025 was 30 events. The change from March 2025 to March 2026 is levelP. Among the 26 months with a report for Somalia, March 2026 has the 12th highest count of events. Somalia holds 1 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in all countries with a page in March 2026. In March 2025, the share was 1 percent.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Regions

The table has 10 regions at most.

Table 1. Somalia, March 2026: events and estimated deaths by region, in name order
RegionEventsPEstimated deathsP
Banaadir region10
Bari region17
Bay region431
Hiran region423
Lower Juba region21
Lower Shabelle region773
Middle Juba region313
Middle Shabelle region53
Mudug region217
Sanaag region120

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 1. Events in Somalia, March 2026. The map shows 30 events with 188 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Somalia has each event.

Table 2. Somalia, March 2026: events with 10 or more estimated deaths (5 of 30 events), in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsPLowHigh
14 Mar 2026Harardhere district, Mudug regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based151515
22 Mar 2026Sanaag regionActor not identified by UCDP; Actor not identified by UCDPNon-state202020
26 Mar 2026Qoryoley district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based404040
29 Mar 2026Baidoa district, Bay regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based212121
29 Mar 2026Wanla Weyne district, Lower Shabelle regionGovernment of Somalia; Al-ShabaabState-based212121

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 3. Somalia: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of March 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP2P24P
Al-Shabaab25P154P
Government of Somalia24P147P
IS1P7P
Jubaland State of Somalia1P1P
SFC1P7P
South West State of Somalia1P2P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Somalia: events by type of violence, March 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict25P83%
Non-state conflict2P7%
One-sided violence against civilians3P10%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

All months

Table 5. Monthly reports of Somalia, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202625P194PCandidate Events
August 202638P148PCandidate Events
July 202646P325PCandidate Events
June 202630P368PCandidate Events
May 202629P358PCandidate Events
April 202632P296PCandidate Events
March 202630P188PCandidate Events
February 202637P231PCandidate Events
January 202644P972PCandidate Events
December 202535249GED
November 202526279GED
October 202545149GED
September 202529195GED
August 202532379GED
July 202531177GED
June 202542479GED
May 202536498GED
April 202524214GED
March 202530548GED
February 202520577GED
January 202516128GED
December 20247112GED
November 202411106GED
October 202415280GED
September 20241489GED
August 202419156GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Somalia: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Somalia: events and estimated deaths in March 2026. https://conflictstats.com/country/somalia/month/2026-03/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.