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Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Ukraine: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Autonomous Republic of Crimea, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 1,957,801 (Wikidata).
Violence in Autonomous Republic of Crimea, Ukraine intensified over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 7 events against 5 in the prior quarter (+40%), with 11 estimated deaths.
The 12-month total for Autonomous Republic of Crimea stands at 17 events and 45 estimated deaths. That is +240% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 26 and 57. 100% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 3. Relative to population, that is 8.7 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Government of Ukraine (17 events, 45 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jun 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025
Events in Autonomous Republic of Crimea, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Autonomous Republic of Crimea, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Dzhankoi city municipality | 4 | 4 |
| Krasnoperekopsk raion | 1 | 6 |
| Yevpatoria raion | 1 | 5 |
| Lenine raion | 1 | 4 |
| Bilohirsk raion | 1 | 4 |
| Kirovske raion | 1 | 3 |
| Bakhchysarai raion | 1 | 3 |
| Yalta raion | 1 | 3 |
| Saky raion | 1 | 2 |
| Feodosia raion | 1 | 2 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2026 | Lenine raion Autonomous Republic of Crimea | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based | 4 1–4 |
| 29 May 2026 | Saky raion Autonomous Republic of Crimea | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based | 2 1–3 |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Dzhankoi city municipality Autonomous Republic of Crimea | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based | 1 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Autonomous Republic of Crimea | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based | 1 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Dzhankoi city municipality Autonomous Republic of Crimea | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based | 1 |
| 13 Jun 2026 | Krasnohvardiiske Raion Autonomous Republic of Crimea | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based | 1 |
| 18 May 2026 | Dzhankoi city municipality Autonomous Republic of Crimea | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Russia | 17 | 45 |
| Government of Ukraine | 17 | 45 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Government of Ukraine | 17 | 45 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 17 | 100% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 0 | 0% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Autonomous Republic of Crimea in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 17 organized-violence events in Autonomous Republic of Crimea between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 45 deaths (range 26 to 57).
Is violence in Autonomous Republic of Crimea increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (7) were up +40% on the preceding 90 days (5).
Who are the main armed actors in Autonomous Republic of Crimea?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Russia (17 events), Government of Ukraine (17 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Autonomous Republic of Crimea?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Autonomous Republic of Crimea, 100% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jun 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Dec 2024
Other regions of Ukraine
Donetsk oblast · Zaporizhzhya oblast · Kherson oblast · Kharkiv oblast · Dnipropetrovsk oblast · Sumy oblast · Luhansk oblast · Odessa oblast · Kyiv Special Republican city · Mykolayiv oblast · Chernihiv oblast · Kyiv oblast
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.