Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Donetsk oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Donetsk oblastPopulation about 4,200,461 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 53 eventsP of organized violence in Donetsk oblast, Ukraine in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 136P. The low estimate is 67 and the high estimate is 260P. The count for August 2026 was 67 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 1,545 eventsP in Donetsk oblast, Ukraine. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 3,976P. The low estimate is 2,398 and the high estimate is 13,998P. UCDP counts 673P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 16 regions of Ukraine with a page, Donetsk oblast has the highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Donetsk oblast holds 33 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Ukraine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 3,256 events in Donetsk oblast. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 1,545P, which is down 53 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Ukraine as a whole went from 6,902 to 4,642P, which is down 33 percent. For the events in Donetsk oblast, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Ukraine.

Table 1. Donetsk oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events53671,545
Estimated deaths, best estimate1361253,976
Low estimate of deaths67782,398
High estimate of deaths26030713,998
Deaths of civilians4446673

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 53 events in Donetsk oblast, Ukraine, in September 2026 (preliminary). The count for August 2026 was 67 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

0250500Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Donetsk oblast by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Donetsk oblast, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 1,545 events with 3,976 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Donetsk oblast: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)1,545P3,976P
Government of Ukraine1,543P3,965P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Donetsk oblast that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Donetsk oblast in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bakhmut raion85P280P
Donetsk raion21P48P
Horlivka raion22P41P
Kalmiuske raion3P5P
Kramatorsk raion561P1,234P
Makiivka City municipality4P4P
Mariupol raion19P41P
Pokrovsk raion596P1,811P
Starobesheve raion6P8P
Volnovakha raion44P91P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Donetsk oblast: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict1,543Pover 99%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians2under 1%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Donetsk oblast, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 202653P136PCandidate Events
August 202667P125PCandidate Events
July 2026120P279PCandidate Events
June 2026110P249PCandidate Events
May 2026113P239PCandidate Events
April 202680P181PCandidate Events
March 202694P320PCandidate Events
February 202645P81PCandidate Events
January 202685P194PCandidate Events
December 2025258701GED
November 2025236602GED
October 2025284869GED
September 2025274637GED
August 20253088,702GED
July 2025276604GED
June 2025244638GED
May 2025248751GED
April 20253121,116GED
March 20253311,141GED
February 20253041,047GED
January 2025216827GED
December 2024188706GED
November 20242441,018GED
October 20243111,121GED
September 20243491,155GED
August 20243181,055GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Ukraine: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Donetsk oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/ukraine/donetsk-oblast/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Donetsk oblast, Ukraine in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 53 eventsP of organized violence in Donetsk oblast, Ukraine in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 67 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Donetsk oblast, Ukraine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 3,976P. The low estimate is 2,398 and the high estimate is 13,998P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.