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Chernihiv oblast, Ukraine: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Chernihiv oblast, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 959,315 (Wikidata).
The level of recorded violence in Chernihiv oblast, Ukraine was stable over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 9 events, close to the 9 of the prior quarter, with 15 estimated deaths.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 48 events and 77 estimated deaths were recorded in Chernihiv oblast. That is +200% on the previous 12 months. 100% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 50. Relative to population, that is 50.0 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Government of Ukraine (48 events, 77 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025
Events in Chernihiv oblast, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Chernihiv oblast, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Novhorod-Siverskyi raion | 14 | 23 |
| Chernihiv raion | 8 | 13 |
| Koriukivka raion | 8 | 9 |
| Nizhyn raion | 5 | 7 |
| Pryluky raion | 1 | 4 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May 2026 | Pryluky raion Chernihiv oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 4 civilian, 3 sources | 4 |
| 26 Jul 2026 | Chernihiv raion Chernihiv oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 28 May 2026 | Chernihiv oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 8 May 2026 | Novhorod-Siverskyi raion Chernihiv oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Chernihiv oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 12 Jul 2026 | Koriukivka raion Chernihiv oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 5 Jun 2026 | Novhorod-Siverskyi raion Chernihiv oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 30 May 2026 | Chernihiv oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 20 May 2026 | Novhorod-Siverskyi raion Chernihiv oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Russia | 48 | 77 |
| Government of Ukraine | 48 | 77 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Government of Ukraine | 48 | 77 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 48 | 100% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 0 | 0% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Chernihiv oblast in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 48 organized-violence events in Chernihiv oblast between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 77 deaths.
Is violence in Chernihiv oblast increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (9) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (9).
Who are the main armed actors in Chernihiv oblast?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Russia (48 events), Government of Ukraine (48 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Chernihiv oblast?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Chernihiv oblast, 100% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Oct 2024Jul 2024
Other regions of Ukraine
Donetsk oblast · Zaporizhzhya oblast · Kherson oblast · Kharkiv oblast · Dnipropetrovsk oblast · Sumy oblast · Luhansk oblast · Odessa oblast · Kyiv Special Republican city · Mykolayiv oblast · Autonomous Republic of Crimea · Kyiv oblast
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.