Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Kyiv oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Kyiv oblastPopulation about 1,795,079 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 8 eventsP of organized violence in Kyiv oblast, Ukraine in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 14P. The count for August 2026 was 12 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 37 eventsP in Kyiv oblast, Ukraine. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 128P. The low estimate is 117 and the high estimate is 128P. UCDP counts 125P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 16 regions of Ukraine with a page, Kyiv oblast has the 11th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Kyiv oblast holds 1 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Ukraine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 14 events in Kyiv oblast. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 37P, which is up 164 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Ukraine as a whole went from 6,902 to 4,642P, which is down 33 percent. For the events in Kyiv oblast, the three types of violence have shares within 5 points of the shares for Ukraine.

Table 1. Kyiv oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events81237
Estimated deaths, best estimate1467128
Low estimate of deaths1456117
High estimate of deaths1467128
Deaths of civilians1464125

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Kyiv oblast, Ukraine on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Kyiv oblast by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Kyiv oblast, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 37 events with 128 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Kyiv oblast: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)36P127P
Government of Ukraine37P128P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Kyiv oblast that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Kyiv oblast in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Boryspil raion3P7P
Brovary raion8P28P
Bucha raion9P61P
Fastiv raion6P9P
Obukhiv raion1P1P
Vyshhorod raion5P5P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Kyiv oblast: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict36P97%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians1P3%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Kyiv oblast, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20268P14PCandidate Events
August 202612P67PCandidate Events
July 20262P21PCandidate Events
June 20262P5PCandidate Events
April 20261P1PCandidate Events
March 20262P6PCandidate Events
February 20261P1PCandidate Events
January 20263P4PCandidate Events
December 202522GED
November 202533GED
October 202514GED
September 202511GED
June 202522GED
May 202545GED
February 202523GED
January 202545GED
October 202411GED
August 202412GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Kyiv oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/ukraine/kyiv-oblast/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Kyiv oblast, Ukraine in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 8 eventsP of organized violence in Kyiv oblast, Ukraine in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 12 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Kyiv oblast, Ukraine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 128P. The low estimate is 117 and the high estimate is 128P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.