Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Odessa oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Odessa oblast

UCDP recorded 8 eventsP of organized violence in Odessa oblast, Ukraine in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 11P. The count for August 2026 was 5 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 54 eventsP in Odessa oblast, Ukraine. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 104P. UCDP counts 103P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 16 regions of Ukraine with a page, Odessa oblast has the 8th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Odessa oblast holds 1 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Ukraine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 35 events in Odessa oblast. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 54P, which is up 54 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Ukraine as a whole went from 6,902 to 4,642P, which is down 33 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 94 percentP of the events in Odessa oblast in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Ukraine, the share is 100 percentP.

Table 1. Odessa oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events8554
Estimated deaths, best estimate117104
Low estimate of deaths117104
High estimate of deaths117104
Deaths of civilians117103

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Odessa oblast, Ukraine on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Odessa oblast by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Odessa oblast, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 54 events with 104 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Odessa oblast: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP1P1P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)53P103P
Government of Ukraine51P101P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Odessa oblast that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Odessa oblast in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bilhorod-Dnistrovskyi raion1P2P
Izmail raion3P4P
Odessa raion30P70P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Odessa oblast: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict51P94%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians3P6%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Odessa oblast, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20268P11PCandidate Events
August 20265P7PCandidate Events
July 202616P32PCandidate Events
June 20263P3PCandidate Events
May 20262P3PCandidate Events
April 20264P16PCandidate Events
March 20263P5PCandidate Events
February 20265P6PCandidate Events
January 20263P7PCandidate Events
December 2025310GED
November 202524GED
September 202522GED
August 202535GED
July 202557GED
June 2025612GED
May 202547GED
March 202535GED
February 202522GED
November 2024517GED
October 2024516GED
September 202449GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Ukraine: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Odessa oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/ukraine/odessa-oblast/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Odessa oblast, Ukraine in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 8 eventsP of organized violence in Odessa oblast, Ukraine in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 5 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Odessa oblast, Ukraine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 104P. The low estimate is 104 and the high estimate is 104P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.