Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Poltava oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Poltava oblastPopulation about 1,352,283 (Wikidata)

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 8.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Poltava oblast, Ukraine in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 8 eventsP in Poltava oblast, Ukraine. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 14P. UCDP counts 14P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 16 regions of Ukraine with a page, Poltava oblast has the 15th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Poltava oblast holds 0 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Ukraine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 4 events in Poltava oblast. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 8P, which is up 100 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Ukraine as a whole went from 6,902 to 4,642P, which is down 33 percent.

Table 1. Poltava oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events008
Estimated deaths, best estimate0014
Low estimate of deaths0014
High estimate of deaths0014
Deaths of civilians0014

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Poltava oblast, Ukraine on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Poltava oblast by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Poltava oblast, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 8 events with 14 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Poltava oblast: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)8P14P
Government of Ukraine8P14P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Poltava oblast that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Poltava oblast in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Lubny raion1P1P
Myrhorod raion1P1P
Poltava raion6P12P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Poltava oblast: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict8P100%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians00%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Poltava oblast, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
July 20262P2PCandidate Events
June 20261P2PCandidate Events
May 20261P5PCandidate Events
April 20261P1PCandidate Events
March 20263P4PCandidate Events
July 202514GED
June 202512GED
February 2025115GED
November 202411GED
September 2024159GED
August 202413GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Ukraine: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Poltava oblast, Ukraine: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/ukraine/poltava-oblast/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Poltava oblast, Ukraine in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Poltava oblast, Ukraine in September 2026. UCDP recorded no eventsP in August 2026.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Poltava oblast, Ukraine in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 14P. The low estimate is 14 and the high estimate is 14P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.