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Poltava oblast, Ukraine: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Poltava oblast, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 1,352,283 (Wikidata).
The level of recorded violence in Poltava oblast, Ukraine was stable over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 4 events, close to the 4 of the prior quarter, with 9 estimated deaths.
The 12-month total for Poltava oblast stands at 8 events and 14 estimated deaths. That is +33% on the previous 12 months. 100% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 14. Relative to population, that is 5.9 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Government of Ukraine (8 events, 14 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Jul 2025Jun 2025Feb 2025Nov 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Events in Poltava oblast, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Poltava oblast, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Poltava raion | 6 | 12 |
| Myrhorod raion | 1 | 1 |
| Lubny raion | 1 | 1 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 May 2026 | Poltava raion Poltava oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 5 civilian, 2 sources | 5 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Poltava raion Poltava oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Poltava raion Poltava oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Myrhorod raion Poltava oblast | Government of Russia vs Government of Ukraine State-based, 1 civilian | 1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Russia | 8 | 14 |
| Government of Ukraine | 8 | 14 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Government of Ukraine | 8 | 14 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 8 | 100% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 0 | 0% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Poltava oblast in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 8 organized-violence events in Poltava oblast between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 14 deaths.
Is violence in Poltava oblast increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (4) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (4).
Who are the main armed actors in Poltava oblast?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Russia (8 events), Government of Ukraine (8 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Poltava oblast?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Poltava oblast, 100% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Other regions of Ukraine
Donetsk oblast · Zaporizhzhya oblast · Kherson oblast · Kharkiv oblast · Dnipropetrovsk oblast · Sumy oblast · Luhansk oblast · Odessa oblast · Kyiv Special Republican city · Mykolayiv oblast · Chernihiv oblast · Autonomous Republic of Crimea
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.