Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Gao region, Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Gao regionPopulation about 544,120 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 3 eventsP of organized violence in Gao region, Mali in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 2P. The low estimate is 2 and the high estimate is 4P. The count for August 2026 was 6 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 48 eventsP in Gao region, Mali. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 185P. The low estimate is 174 and the high estimate is 207P. UCDP counts 36P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 12 regions of Mali with a page, Gao region has the 7th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Gao region holds 6 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 40 events in Gao region. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 48P, which is up 20 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Mali as a whole went from 495 to 780P, which is up 58 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 73 percentP of the events in Gao region in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Mali, the share is 78 percentP.

Table 1. Gao region, Mali: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events3648
Estimated deaths, best estimate22185
Low estimate of deaths22174
High estimate of deaths46207
Deaths of civilians2136

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Gao region, Mali on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Gao region by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Gao region, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 48 events with 185 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Gao region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP1P3P
FLA10P90P
GATIA1P0P
Government of Mali36P168P
Government of Mali, Government of Russia (Soviet Union)3P7P
IS10P17P
JNIM28P72P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Gao region that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Gao region in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Ansongo cercle5P11P
Bourem cercle10P123P
Gao cercle24P39P
Talataye cercle1P4P
Téssit cercle1P0P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Gao region: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict35P73%
Non-state conflict6P13%
One-sided violence against civilians7P15%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Gao region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20263P2PCandidate Events
August 20266P2PCandidate Events
July 202612P129PCandidate Events
June 20264P3PCandidate Events
May 20265P12PCandidate Events
April 20267P19PCandidate Events
March 20261P0PCandidate Events
February 20261P4PCandidate Events
January 20262P2PCandidate Events
December 202534GED
November 202515GED
October 202533GED
September 202522GED
August 2025418GED
July 202521GED
June 2025385GED
May 202536GED
April 202510GED
March 202539GED
February 2025878GED
January 2025610GED
December 202449GED
November 202435GED
October 202410GED
September 202418GED
August 202428GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Mali: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Gao region, Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/mali/gao-region/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Gao region, Mali in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 3 eventsP of organized violence in Gao region, Mali in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 6 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Gao region, Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 185P. The low estimate is 174 and the high estimate is 207P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.