Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Kidal region, Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Kidal regionPopulation about 83,192 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 9 eventsP of organized violence in Kidal region, Mali in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 3P. The low estimate is 3 and the high estimate is 11P. The count for August 2026 was 12 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 89 eventsP in Kidal region, Mali. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 108P. The low estimate is 102 and the high estimate is 256P. UCDP counts 37P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 12 regions of Mali with a page, Kidal region has the 4th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Kidal region holds 11 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 80 events in Kidal region. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 89P, which is up 11 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Mali as a whole went from 495 to 780P, which is up 58 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 91 percentP of the events in Kidal region in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Mali, the share is 78 percentP.

Table 1. Kidal region, Mali: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events91289
Estimated deaths, best estimate37108
Low estimate of deaths37102
High estimate of deaths1116256
Deaths of civilians3437

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Kidal region, Mali on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Kidal region by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Kidal region, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 89 events with 108 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Kidal region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
FLA51P81P
Government of Mali83P100P
Government of Mali, Government of Russia (Soviet Union)3P2P
IS36
JNIM33P23P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Kidal region that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Kidal region in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Abeïbara cercle14P18P
Aguel-hoc cercle2P1P
Kidal cercle41P64P
Tessalit cercle20P15P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Kidal region: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict81P91%
Non-state conflict33%
One-sided violence against civilians5P6%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Kidal region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20269P3PCandidate Events
August 202612P7PCandidate Events
July 202625P46PCandidate Events
June 20264P1PCandidate Events
May 20265P2PCandidate Events
April 20267P14PCandidate Events
March 20269P4PCandidate Events
February 20264P8PCandidate Events
January 20264P2PCandidate Events
December 202510GED
November 202538GED
October 2025613GED
September 2025610GED
August 202527GED
July 2025718GED
June 20251669GED
April 2025410GED
March 2025511GED
February 20251259GED
January 202576GED
December 2024511GED
November 202422GED
October 20241425GED
September 202425GED
August 2024737GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Mali: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Kidal region, Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/mali/kidal-region/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Kidal region, Mali in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 9 eventsP of organized violence in Kidal region, Mali in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 12 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Kidal region, Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 108P. The low estimate is 102 and the high estimate is 256P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.