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Tombouctou region, Mali: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Tombouctou region, data through 31 Jul 2026.
Tombouctou region, Mali saw 32 recorded events and 57 estimated deaths from 3 May 2026 to 31 Jul 2026. That is +60% on the preceding 90-day period.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 94 events and 214 estimated deaths were recorded in Tombouctou region. That is roughly the same as the 12 months before. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 188 and 298. 64% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 160.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Mali - JNIM (57 events, 117 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025
Events in Tombouctou region, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Tombouctou region, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Goundam cercle | 35 | 75 |
| Niafunke cercle | 25 | 67 |
| Tombouctou cercle | 12 | 25 |
| Gourma-Rharous cercle | 10 | 31 |
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026 | Goundam cercle Tombouctou region | Government of Mali, Government of Russia vs Civilians One-sided, 12 civilian, 3 sources | 12 12–17 |
| 4 Jul 2026 | Tombouctou cercle Tombouctou region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based, 9 civilian, 3 sources | 9 2–9 |
| 14 May 2026 | Niafunke cercle Tombouctou region | Government of Mali, Government of Russia vs Civilians One-sided, 6 civilian, 2 sources | 6 2–6 |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Goundam cercle Tombouctou region | Government of Mali vs Civilians One-sided, 4 civilian | 4 |
| 14 May 2026 | Niafunke cercle Tombouctou region | Government of Mali, Government of Russia vs Civilians One-sided, 3 civilian | 3 |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Tombouctou region | Government of Mali vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Tombouctou cercle Tombouctou region | Government of Mali, Government of Russia vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian | 2 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Tombouctou cercle Tombouctou region | Government of Mali, Government of Russia vs Civilians One-sided, 2 civilian, 3 sources | 2 2–3 |
| 19 Jun 2026 | Tombouctou region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 2 |
| 29 May 2026 | Niafunke cercle Tombouctou region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 2 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| JNIM | 64 | 135 |
| Government of Mali | 62 | 123 |
| Government of Mali, Government of Russia | 23 | 71 |
| FLA | 3 | 0 |
| Government of Russia | 2 | 2 |
| IS | 1 | 0 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Mali - JNIM | 57 | 117 |
| Government of Mali, Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians | 23 | 71 |
| JNIM - Civilians | 6 | 18 |
| Government of Mali - FLA | 3 | 0 |
| Government of Mali - Civilians | 2 | 6 |
| Government of Russia (Soviet Union) - Civilians | 2 | 2 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 60 | 64% |
| Non-state conflict | 1 | 1% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 33 | 35% |
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Tombouctou region in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 94 organized-violence events in Tombouctou region between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 214 deaths (range 188 to 298).
Is violence in Tombouctou region increasing or decreasing?
Increasing. Events in the last 90 days (32) were up +60% on the preceding 90 days (20).
Who are the main armed actors in Tombouctou region?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were JNIM (64 events), Government of Mali (62 events), Government of Mali, Government of Russia (23 events), FLA (3 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Tombouctou region?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Tombouctou region, 64% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025May 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Oct 2024Sep 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Other regions of Mali
Mopti region · Segou region · Kidal region · Koulikoro region · Gao region · Kayes region · Sikasso region · Ménaka region · Bamako region
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.