Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Tombouctou region, Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Tombouctou region

UCDP recorded 7 eventsP of organized violence in Tombouctou region, Mali in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 15P. The low estimate is 4 and the high estimate is 208P. The count for August 2026 was 9 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 106 eventsP in Tombouctou region, Mali. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 234P. The low estimate is 197 and the high estimate is 539P. UCDP counts 165P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 12 regions of Mali with a page, Tombouctou region has the 3rd highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Tombouctou region holds 14 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 93 events in Tombouctou region. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 106P, which is up 14 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Mali as a whole went from 495 to 780P, which is up 58 percent. Events of one-sided violence are 32 percentP of the events in Tombouctou region in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Mali, the share is 11 percentP.

Table 1. Tombouctou region, Mali: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events79106
Estimated deaths, best estimate1514234
Low estimate of deaths414197
High estimate of deaths20843539
Deaths of civilians311165

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Tombouctou region, Mali on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Tombouctou region by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Tombouctou region, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 106 events with 234 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Tombouctou region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
FLA2P0P
Government of Mali71P136P
Government of Mali, Government of Russia (Soviet Union)22P64P
Government of Russia (Soviet Union)4P4P
IS3P12P
JNIM76P162P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Tombouctou region that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Tombouctou region in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Gargando cercle1P0P
Gossi cercle1P0P
Goundam cercle40P79P
Gourma-Rharous cercle14P52P
Niafunke cercle24P60P
Tombouctou cercle14P28P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Tombouctou region: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict69P65%
Non-state conflict3P3%
One-sided violence against civilians34P32%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Tombouctou region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20267P15PCandidate Events
August 20269P14PCandidate Events
July 20269P14PCandidate Events
June 202610P21PCandidate Events
May 202614P20PCandidate Events
April 202612P8PCandidate Events
March 20263P4PCandidate Events
February 20264P3PCandidate Events
January 20267P8PCandidate Events
December 2025811GED
November 20251779GED
October 2025637GED
September 202520GED
August 202527GED
July 2025529GED
June 2025634GED
May 202543GED
April 202541GED
March 2025637GED
February 20251123GED
January 20251629GED
December 20241725GED
November 2024611GED
October 20241455GED
September 202436GED
August 202431GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Mali: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Tombouctou region, Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/mali/tombouctou-region/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Tombouctou region, Mali in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 7 eventsP of organized violence in Tombouctou region, Mali in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 9 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Tombouctou region, Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 234P. The low estimate is 197 and the high estimate is 539P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.