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Sikasso region, Mali: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Sikasso region, data through 31 Jul 2026. Population about 2,625,919 (Wikidata).
The level of recorded violence in Sikasso region, Mali was stable over the 90 days to 31 Jul 2026: 10 events, close to the 12 of the prior quarter, with 26 estimated deaths.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 74 events and 172 estimated deaths were recorded in Sikasso region. That is +640% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 171 and 275. 86% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 31. Relative to population, that is 28.2 events per million people.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Mali - JNIM (64 events, 146 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025
Events in Sikasso region, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Sikasso region, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Kolondiéba cercle | 15 | 44 |
| Sikasso cercle | 13 | 33 |
| Bougouni cercle | 13 | 21 |
| Kadiolo cercle | 7 | 16 |
| Yanfolila cercle | 4 | 2 |
| Koutiala cercle | 2 | 12 |
| Yorosso cercle | 2 | 5 |
5,558 internally displaced people recorded in Sikasso as of 30 Apr 2023. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | Koutiala cercle Sikasso region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based, 2 sources | 12 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | Bougouni cercle Sikasso region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 10 |
| 4 Jun 2026 | Sikasso cercle Sikasso region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based, 2 sources | 3 |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Kolondiéba cercle Sikasso region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 1 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Sikasso region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 19 Jul 2026 | Kolondiéba cercle Sikasso region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 14 Jul 2026 | Sikasso region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 26 Jun 2026 | Yanfolila cercle Sikasso region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based, 2 sources | 0 0–1 |
| 19 May 2026 | Koutiala cercle Sikasso region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 17 May 2026 | Bougouni cercle Sikasso region | Dozos (Mali) vs JNIM Non-state, 2 sources | 0 0–12 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| JNIM | 73 | 167 |
| Government of Mali | 64 | 146 |
| Dozos (Mali) | 7 | 17 |
| Government of Burkina Faso | 1 | 5 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Mali - JNIM | 64 | 146 |
| Dozos (Mali) - JNIM | 7 | 17 |
| JNIM - Civilians | 2 | 4 |
| Government of Burkina Faso - Civilians | 1 | 5 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 64 | 86% |
| Non-state conflict | 7 | 9% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 3 | 4% |
Recent reports mentioning Sikasso region
- Mali: Dashboard thématique sur la présence des migrants au Mali 3 — Régions de Kayes, Koulikoro et Sikasso (décembre 2025 – janvier 2026) ReliefWeb, 16 Sep 2026
- Mali : Region de Sikasso - Qui Fait Quoi et Où (3W) Présence opérationnelle des acteurs humanitaires (au 30 juin 2026) ReliefWeb, 2 Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Sikasso region in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 74 organized-violence events in Sikasso region between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 172 deaths (range 171 to 275).
Is violence in Sikasso region increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (10) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (12).
Who are the main armed actors in Sikasso region?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were JNIM (73 events), Government of Mali (64 events), Dozos (Mali) (7 events), Government of Burkina Faso (1 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Sikasso region?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Sikasso region, 86% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Nov 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Aug 2025Jul 2025Jun 2025Apr 2025Mar 2025Feb 2025Dec 2024
Other regions of Mali
Mopti region · Segou region · Kidal region · Tombouctou region · Koulikoro region · Gao region · Kayes region · Ménaka region · Bamako region
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.