Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Sikasso region, Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Sikasso regionPopulation about 2,625,919 (Wikidata)

UCDP recorded 3 eventsP of organized violence in Sikasso region, Mali in September 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 4P. The low estimate is 4 and the high estimate is 6P. The count for August 2026 was 3 eventsP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 77 eventsP in Sikasso region, Mali. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 167P. The low estimate is 166 and the high estimate is 275P. UCDP counts 23P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 12 regions of Mali with a page, Sikasso region has the 5th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Sikasso region holds 10 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 13 events in Sikasso region. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 77P, which is up 492 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Mali as a whole went from 495 to 780P, which is up 58 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 90 percentP of the events in Sikasso region in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For Mali, the share is 78 percentP.

Table 1. Sikasso region, Mali: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events3377
Estimated deaths, best estimate40167
Low estimate of deaths40166
High estimate of deaths63275
Deaths of civilians0023

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Sikasso region, Mali on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

01020Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Sikasso region by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Sikasso region, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 77 events with 167 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Sikasso region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Dozos (Mali)7P17P
Government of Mali69P149P
JNIM77P167P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Sikasso region that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Sikasso region in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Bougouni cercle15P21P
Danderesso cercle1P0P
Kadiolo cercle7P16P
Kolondiéba cercle15P44P
Koutiala cercle3P12P
Sikasso cercle15P37P
Yanfolila cercle4P2P
Yorosso cercle2P0P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Sikasso region: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict69P90%
Non-state conflict7P9%
One-sided violence against civilians11%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Sikasso region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 20263P4PCandidate Events
August 20263P0PCandidate Events
July 20265P11PCandidate Events
June 20262P3PCandidate Events
May 20263P12PCandidate Events
April 20262P0PCandidate Events
March 20265P1PCandidate Events
February 20265P19PCandidate Events
January 20266P0PCandidate Events
December 2025139GED
November 20251554GED
October 20251554GED
September 202524GED
August 202515GED
July 2025111GED
June 2025232GED
April 202533GED
March 202528GED
February 202510GED
December 202411GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Mali: all figures

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Sikasso region, Mali: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/mali/sikasso-region/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

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Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Sikasso region, Mali in September 2026?

UCDP recorded 3 eventsP of organized violence in Sikasso region, Mali in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 3 eventsP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Sikasso region, Mali in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 167P. The low estimate is 166 and the high estimate is 275P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.