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Kayes region, Mali: conflict statistics
Organized violence recorded by UCDP in Kayes region, data through 31 Jul 2026.
Between 3 May 2026 and 31 Jul 2026, UCDP recorded 13 organized-violence events in Kayes region, Mali, broadly level with 14 in the preceding 90 days (-7%). Estimated deaths in the period: 17.
Over the 12 months to 31 Jul 2026, 57 events and 201 estimated deaths were recorded in Kayes region. That is +185% on the previous 12 months. UCDP's low and high estimates put the death toll between 198 and 280. 88% of events were classed as state-based armed conflict. Civilian deaths in the same period: 55.
The most active conflict pairing over the last 12 months was Government of Mali - JNIM (50 events, 154 estimated deaths).
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Jul 2025May 2025
Events in Kayes region, last 12 months
Monthly trend
Hotspots within Kayes region, last 12 months
| Area (second-level) | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Diéma cercle | 14 | 19 |
| Nioro cercle | 13 | 34 |
| Kayes cercle | 9 | 62 |
| Yélimané cercle | 8 | 65 |
| Kita cercle | 8 | 14 |
| Kéniéba cercle | 1 | 4 |
1,540 internally displaced people recorded in Kayes as of 30 Apr 2023. Source: IOM DTM via HDX HAPI.
Deadliest recorded events, last 90 days
| Date | Where | Parties | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2026 | Kita cercle Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based, 8 civilian, 4 sources | 8 5–8 |
| 17 Jun 2026 | Diéma cercle Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based, 3 sources | 7 |
| 20 Jul 2026 | Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based, 2 sources | 1 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Nioro cercle Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based, 2 sources | 1 |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Kita cercle Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 7 Jul 2026 | Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Kita cercle Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Kita cercle Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based, 2 sources | 0 0–6 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Diéma cercle Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 0 0–1 |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Diéma cercle Kayes region | Government of Mali vs JNIM State-based | 0 0–1 |
Most recorded parties, last 12 months
| Party | Events | Est. deaths in those events |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Mali | 55 | 185 |
| JNIM | 52 | 170 |
Conflict pairings, last 12 months
| Pairing | Events | Est. deaths |
|---|---|---|
| Government of Mali - JNIM | 50 | 154 |
| Government of Mali - Civilians | 5 | 31 |
| JNIM - Civilians | 2 | 16 |
Type of violence, last 12 months
| Category | Events | Share |
|---|---|---|
| State-based armed conflict | 50 | 88% |
| Non-state conflict | 0 | 0% |
| One-sided violence against civilians | 7 | 12% |
Recent reports mentioning Kayes region
- Mali: Dashboard thématique sur la présence des migrants au Mali 3 — Régions de Kayes, Koulikoro et Sikasso (décembre 2025 – janvier 2026) ReliefWeb, 16 Sep 2026
Frequently asked questions
How many conflict events were recorded in Kayes region in the last 12 months?
UCDP recorded 57 organized-violence events in Kayes region between 1 Aug 2025 and 31 Jul 2026, with an estimated 201 deaths (range 198 to 280).
Is violence in Kayes region increasing or decreasing?
Broadly stable. Events in the last 90 days (13) were within 20% of the preceding 90 days (14).
Who are the main armed actors in Kayes region?
The parties recorded in the most events over the last 12 months were Government of Mali (55 events), JNIM (52 events).
What kind of violence is recorded in Kayes region?
UCDP classes events as state-based armed conflict, non-state conflict, or one-sided violence against civilians. In Kayes region, 88% of events over the last 12 months were state-based armed conflict.
Where does this data come from?
Event counts and death estimates come from the Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) Georeferenced Event Dataset and its monthly Candidate Events releases, published under CC BY 4.0. Figures use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. Data on this page runs through 31 Jul 2026.
Monthly reports:Jul 2026Jun 2026May 2026Apr 2026Mar 2026Feb 2026Jan 2026Dec 2025Oct 2025Sep 2025Jul 2025May 2025Apr 2025Jan 2025Dec 2024Nov 2024Aug 2024Jul 2024
Other regions of Mali
Mopti region · Segou region · Kidal region · Tombouctou region · Koulikoro region · Gao region · Sikasso region · Ménaka region · Bamako region
Region names follow UCDP's first-level administrative coding. Counts use UCDP's "best" fatality estimate. See methodology.