Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Mexico: events and estimated deaths in January 2026

Monthly reportDataset: UCDP Candidate Events, preliminaryData through

UCDP recorded 234 eventsP of organized violence in Mexico in January 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 401P. The low estimate is 387 and the high estimate is 450P. UCDP counts 18P of these deaths as deaths of civilians. The count for December 2025 was 158 events.

The count for January 2025 was 319 events. The change from January 2025 to January 2026 is down 27 percentP. Among the 26 months with a report for Mexico, January 2026 has the 12th highest count of events. Mexico holds 14 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in all countries with a page in January 2026. In January 2025, the share was 14 percent.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Regions

The table has 10 regions at most.

Table 1. Mexico, January 2026: events and estimated deaths by region, in name order
RegionEventsPEstimated deathsP
Baja California state28145
Chihuahua state2124
Ciudad de México1114
Guanajuato state6257
Guerrero state3248
Hidalgo state46
Michoacán state620
Morelos state610
Sinaloa state4750
Veracruz state813

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 1. Events in Mexico, January 2026. The map shows 234 events with 401 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Events

The table lists the events with 10 or more estimated deaths. The CSV file of Mexico has each event.

Table 2. Mexico, January 2026: events with 10 or more estimated deaths (2 of 234 events), in the order of their dates
DatePlaceSides, as UCDP writes themType of violenceEstimated deathsPLowHigh
1 Jan 2026Tecate municipality, Baja California stateJalisco Cartel New Generation, Group named for a person (name not shown); Group named for a person (name not shown)Non-state129129129
25 Jan 2026Salamanca municipality, Guanajuato stateJalisco Cartel New Generation; Santa Rosa de Lima CartelNon-state111111

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 3. Mexico: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of January 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Actor not identified by UCDP145P195P
Fuerza Anti Unión1P1P
Group named for a person (name not shown)2P129P
Jalisco Cartel New Generation85P75P
Jalisco Cartel New Generation, Group named for a person (name not shown)2P129P
Juarez Cartel1P1P
La Familia1P8P
La Union de Tepito1P1P
Santa Rosa de Lima Cartel57P51P
Sinaloa Cartel28P17P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death. Names are as UCDP writes them, with two labels that the site writes. UCDP does not identify some actors: the site writes "Actor not identified by UCDP" for each of them. UCDP names some groups for a person: the site writes "Group named for a person (name not shown)" for each of them. A line with a label can hold more than one actor.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Mexico: events by type of violence, January 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict12P5%
Non-state conflict211P90%
One-sided violence against civilians11P5%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

All months

Table 5. Monthly reports of Mexico, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
September 2026235P262PCandidate Events
August 2026183P216PCandidate Events
July 2026197P236PCandidate Events
June 2026196P241PCandidate Events
May 2026213P242PCandidate Events
April 2026234P285PCandidate Events
March 2026217P270PCandidate Events
February 2026160P158PCandidate Events
January 2026234P401PCandidate Events
December 2025158152GED
November 2025199310GED
October 2025236681GED
September 2025315331GED
August 2025284529GED
July 2025304372GED
June 2025263748GED
May 2025230270GED
April 2025199244GED
March 2025196258GED
February 20252851,297GED
January 20253192,712GED
December 2024171232GED
November 2024183311GED
October 2024256557GED
September 2024277953GED
August 2024245334GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 20 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Mexico: all figures

Cite this page

ConflictStats. Mexico: events and estimated deaths in January 2026. https://conflictstats.com/country/mexico/month/2026-01/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.