Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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Bakool region, Somalia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP

Data through Name of the region as UCDP writes it: Bakool region

Search engines are asked not to list this page. They list a region page at 30 or more events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. This page has 9.

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Bakool region, Somalia in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, UCDP recorded 9 eventsP in Bakool region, Somalia. The best estimate of deaths in the events of the 12 months is 33P. The low estimate is 31 and the high estimate is 45P. UCDP counts 0P of these deaths as deaths of civilians.

Among the 11 regions of Somalia with a page, Bakool region has the 9th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. Bakool region holds 2 percentP of the events that UCDP recorded in Somalia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 8 events in Bakool region. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 9P, which is up 13 percent. Over the same periods, the count for Somalia as a whole went from 293 to 417P, which is up 42 percent.

Table 1. Bakool region, Somalia: events and estimated deaths that UCDP records
FigureSeptember 2026PAugust 2026P12 months to 30 Sep 2026P
Events019
Estimated deaths, best estimate0033
Low estimate of deaths0031
High estimate of deaths0345
Deaths of civilians000

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

Since the last update

The log has no change for Bakool region, Somalia on record. ConflictStats read the UCDP files on . The data cover events through . Changes in the data

24 months

02.55Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events in Bakool region by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events. The figures are in Table 5.
Figure 2. Events in Bakool region, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 9 events with 33 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Actors, as UCDP names them

Names as UCDP writes them.

Table 2. Bakool region: actors, as UCDP names them, in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Al-Shabaab9P33P
Government of Somalia9P33P

An event has two sides, so one event can be in two rows. The deaths are the deaths in the events of a side. The table does not say which side caused a death.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Second-level areas

The areas in Bakool region that UCDP names in the events. The table has 10 areas at most.

Table 3. Second-level areas of Bakool region in the events of the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, in name order
Area, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths
Hudur district531
Waajid district3P1P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. Bakool region: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict9P100%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians00%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Monthly reports

One report for each month with events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events.

Table 5. Monthly reports of Bakool region, newest first: events and estimated deaths
MonthEventsEstimated deathsDataset
August 20261P0PCandidate Events
May 20261P1PCandidate Events
February 20261P0PCandidate Events
December 2025215GED
November 202537GED
October 2025110GED
September 202520GED
August 202556GED
June 202514GED

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events. Search engines list a report of a month in the last 12 months that has 30 or more events. The other reports stay online and ask search engines not to list them.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite and download

ConflictStats. Bakool region, Somalia: events and estimated deaths recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/country/somalia/bakool-region/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events did UCDP record in Bakool region, Somalia in September 2026?

UCDP recorded no eventsP of organized violence in Bakool region, Somalia in September 2026. The count for August 2026 was 1 eventP.

How does UCDP count deaths?

UCDP gives a best estimate, a low estimate and a high estimate for each event. This page uses the best estimate. For Bakool region, Somalia in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026, the best estimate is 33P. The low estimate is 31 and the high estimate is 45P.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them. UCDP releases the reviewed dataset, the GED, one time each year.