Bulletin 2026-09UCDP data through GED 26.1, Candidate Events 26.0.9Changes in the data

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Events and deaths in organized violence, as UCDP records them

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NUG: events recorded by UCDP

Data through The name is the name that UCDP writes

UCDP recorded 128 eventsP that involve NUG in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The best estimate of deaths in these events is 530P.

The low estimate is 529 and the high estimate is 676P. The count holds each event in which this actor is one of the two sides. It does not say which side caused a death. UCDP recorded these events in 1 country.

Among the 133 actors with a page, NUG has the 38th highest count of events in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. NUG is one of the two sides in 1 percentP of the 22,144P events in all countries with a page. In the 12 months to 30 Sep 2025, UCDP recorded 427 events that involve NUG. The count for the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 is 128P, which is down 70 percent. Over the same periods, the count for all countries with a page went from 27,291 to 22,144P, which is down 19 percent. Events of state-based armed conflict are 100 percentP of the events that involve NUG in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. For all countries with a page, the share is 63 percentP.

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Not all events in UCDP Candidate will make it into the final UCDP GED and new events will be added. The UCDP Candidate is a dataset containing events that have a high probability of being included in the final annual version of UCDP GED.

An incident where armed force was used by an organized actor against another organized actor, or against civilians, resulting in at least 1 direct death at a specific location and a specific date

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Candidate Events Dataset Codebook, version 1.5 (Introduction) and UCDP GED Codebook, version 26.1 (section 2, the definition of an event), copied on .

This page rests on UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9, with data through . The figures from January 2026 are from Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.

The pages give counts and their sources. They give no travel, security or safety advice. A count of events is not a measure of danger.

What UCDP calls an actor

A state or a non-state formally organised or informally organised group.

UCDP's words. Source: UCDP Definitions, copied on .

Since the last update

ConflictStats recorded this on .

  • UCDP recorded 128 events that involve NUG in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026 (preliminary). The count for the 12 months to 31 Aug 2026 was 157 (preliminary).

All changes recorded on 28 Oct 2026

24 months

02550Jan 2025Jan 2026GEDCandidate
Figure 1. Events that involve NUG, by month. A hollow column is a preliminary month. The line marks the change of dataset: GED to the left, Candidate Events from Jan 2026 to the right. The two datasets are not made in the same way, so a step at the line is not only a change in the events.
Events that involve NUG, by month, newest first
MonthEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Sep 20260P0P
Aug 20260P0P
Jul 20260P0P
Jun 20260P0P
May 20260P0P
Apr 20260P0P
Mar 202617P96P
Feb 202617P58P
Jan 202627P161P
Dec 20252497
Nov 20252650
Oct 20251768
Sep 20252989
Aug 20253066
Jul 202534121
Jun 20253042
May 202533126
Apr 202546136
Mar 202528108
Feb 202536100
Jan 20254299
Dec 20244394
Nov 20243852
Oct 202438126

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Countries and regions

Where UCDP recorded the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table of regions has 8 regions at most.

Table 1. Countries of the events that involve NUG, in name order
CountryEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Myanmar128P530P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Table 2. Regions of the events that involve NUG, in name order
RegionCountryEvents
Bago regionMyanmar14P
Chin stateMyanmar2P
Magway regionMyanmar29P
Mandalay regionMyanmar24P
Sagaing regionMyanmar57P
Tanintharyi regionMyanmar1

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Figure 2. Events that involve NUG, 1 Oct 2025 to 30 Sep 2026. The map shows 128 events with 530 estimated deaths. One dot is one event at the place that UCDP gives. When a source names no exact place, UCDP puts the event at the centre of a region or of the country. The area of a dot follows the best estimate of deaths. The largest dot is for 330 deaths or more.1 death10 deaths100 deathsOutlines: Natural Earth, with the first-level areas of the UCDP data. An outline shows where the events are. It is not a statement about a border.

Other sides

The other side of the events, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026. The table has 6 names at most.

Table 3. Other sides in the events that involve NUG, in name order
Name, as UCDP writes itEventsEstimated deaths in these events
Government of Myanmar (Burma)128P530P

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

Type of violence

Table 4. NUG: events by type of violence, the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026
Type of violenceEventsShare of events
State-based armed conflict128P100%
Non-state conflict00%
One-sided violence against civilians00%

P Preliminary. The figure is from UCDP Candidate Events, and UCDP revises these events.

The glossary has the UCDP definition of each type.

Official channels

These links go to the sites of the organisations. The UCDP and World Bank links were checked on .

Cite this page

ConflictStats. NUG: events recorded by UCDP. https://conflictstats.com/actor/nug/. Source: Uppsala Conflict Data Program, UCDP GED 26.1 and UCDP Candidate Events 26.0.9. Data through .

The address of this page does not change. UCDP asks for a citation of its publications: Data sources and licences has it.

Questions

How many events that involve NUG did UCDP record?

UCDP recorded 128 eventsP that involve NUG in the 12 months to 30 Sep 2026.

What is an actor in UCDP data?

UCDP calls each side of an event an actor. An actor is a state, or a non-state group that is formally or informally organised. This site writes the name as UCDP writes it. It replaces the name of a group that is named for a person.

In which countries did UCDP record these events?

UCDP recorded them in Myanmar.

Are the figures of the latest months final?

No. The figures from January 2026 are from UCDP Candidate Events. Candidate Events are preliminary and UCDP revises them.